Archive for January, 2017

Can the Epic Junk Bond Rally Continue?

Monday, January 9th, 2017

Via WSJ: Investors Betting Strongest Junk-Bond Rally in Years Has Legs Better earnings among risky companies and a slowdown of defaults have given junk-bond investors cause for optimism despite a big decline in yields   Updated Jan. 8, 2017 10:37 p.m. ET   An uptick in earnings among riskier U.S. companies is bolstering ...

Does The Equity Rally Have Legs?

Sunday, January 8th, 2017

Via WSJ: As Dow Approaches 20000: Has This Rally Just Begun? As some investors consider swapping out of bonds, analysts see a tailwind for stocks By COLIN BARR and AARON KURILOFF Jan. 8, 2017 6:37 p.m. ET Perhaps this rally hasn’t ended. Perhaps it has just begun. The Dow Jones Industrial Average on Friday closed at 19963.80, as ...

Summers on Trump’s Economics

Sunday, January 8th, 2017

Via Bloomberg: Summers Warns of Financial-Crisis Risk From Trump Economic Plans by Christopher Condon January 8, 2017, 12:58 PM EST Financial deregulation would be ‘hugely dangerous,’ he says Ex-Obama adviser says stronger dollar would hurt exporters   Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers attacked the policy proposals of Donald Trump on several fronts, saying the president-elect’s plans ...

Fixed Income Bonus Time

Sunday, January 8th, 2017

Via Bloomberg: BofA Said to Boost Bonuses for Bond Traders, Cut Equities by Laura J Keller and Hugh Son January 6, 2017, 11:24 AM EST January 6, 2017, 2:01 PM EST Fixed-income staff to get as much as 10% more for 2016 Equities slump prompts cut of about 5% for that bonus pool BofA Said to Boost ...

Musings and Ruminationsof Prospective Trump Fed Chairs

Sunday, January 8th, 2017

Via Bloomberg: Potential Fed Chairs Suggest They Would Pursue Tighter Policy by Rich Miller January 8, 2017, 4:00 PM EST Bank is behind curve in raising rates, Stanford’s Taylor says Hubbard, Warsh also point toward higher interest rates Potential candidates to head the Federal Reserve in 2018 suggested that monetary policy would be tighter if ...

Bond Market Rout?

Wednesday, January 4th, 2017

Via Bloomberg: Harvard Academic Sees Debt Rout Worse Than 1994 ‘Bond Massacre’ 2017-01-04 15:39:28.489 GMT By Anchalee Worrachate (Bloomberg) -- If you thought you had already read the gloomiest possible prognosis for bonds, wait until you read this one. Paul Schmelzing, a PhD candidate at Harvard University and a visiting scholar at the Bank of England, said if ...

FX

Tuesday, January 3rd, 2017

Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman: Drivers for the Week Ahead We expect the dollar's uptrend to continue, driven by the divergence of monetary policy broadly understood and the political risks emanating from Europe The highlight of the week is the US jobs report Investors await the UK Supreme Court ...

Some Corporate Bond Stuff

Tuesday, January 3rd, 2017

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: Trading Expected to Bulk-Up; Issuance Has Quick Start 2017-01-03 10:53:50.48 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- Secondary IG trading ended with a Trace count of $2.5b Friday vs $4.1b Thursday, $2.2b last Friday. * 10-DMA $7.8b vs $18.6b Dec 9; 10-Friday moving avg $10.3b vs $12.3b Dec. 9 * 144a trading added $169m of ...

Earnings Set to Rebound

Tuesday, January 3rd, 2017

Via WSJ: Earnings, Not Donald Trump, Are Stocks’ Best Friend in 2017 Continued rebound in corporate profits should prop up share prices regardless of Washington policies By AKANE OTANI Jan. 3, 2017 5:30 a.m. ET 0 COMMENTS Here’s one simple thing set to help sustain stocks’ march in 2017: corporate earnings. While Donald Trump’s election supercharged investors’ hopes ...

Animal Spirit on the Rise

Tuesday, January 3rd, 2017

Via WSJ: BUSINESS Businesses Ramp Up Investment Despite Rising Rates After years of hoarding cash and buying back stock, U.S. companies are ready to spend money on equipment, buildings By THEO FRANCIS and VIPAL MONGA Updated Jan. 2, 2017 10:40 p.m. ET U.S. companies are preparing to invest again after years on the sidelines, and rising interest ...