Archive for August, 2016

Credit Pipeline

Wednesday, August 10th, 2016

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT PIPELINE: 3 Expected to Price; STANLN Mandate Added2016-08-10 09:36:06.540 GMTBy Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- Expected to price today: * Province of Alberta (ALTA) Aa1/AA, to price $bench 144a/Reg- S 10Y, via managers CIBC/RBC/Sco/TD; guidance MS +68 area * FMS Wertmanagement (FMSWER) Aaa/AAA, to price $bench Global 3Y, ...

Over Reliance on Monetary Policy

Wednesday, August 10th, 2016

Via Bloomberg: RBA’s Stevens Urges Budget Fix, Says Monetary Policy Not Enough Michael Heath maheath1 August 9, 2016 — 11:13 PM EDT Central bank governor delivers final official speech in Sydney Says inflation target has flexibility to allow undershooting   Glenn Stevens, in his final speech at the Australian central bank’s helm, said the economy’s slowing trend growth ...

Pimco Bulks Up on Treasuries

Tuesday, August 9th, 2016

Via Bloomberg: Pimco Total Return Boosts Government Stake to Most in 25 Months Wes Goodman richwesgoodman August 9, 2016 — 8:31 PM EDT Pacific Investment Management Co.’s Total Return Fund increased its stake in government and related debt to 45.6 percent of assets as of the end of July, the highest level in 25 months. The ...

Not Enough Bonds to Go Around

Tuesday, August 9th, 2016

Via Bloomberg: U.K. Bonds Jump as Offers Fall Short of Target at BOE QE Auction 2016-08-09 14:23:46.210 GMT By Anooja Debnath (Bloomberg) -- U.K. government bonds surged as the second operation of the Bank of England’s expanded quantitative-easing program saw it fail to buy enough gilts to reach its stated goal. The yield on 10- and 30-year bonds ...

Three Year Auction Today

Tuesday, August 9th, 2016

Via Ian Lyngen: We are apprehensive about this afternoon’s $24 bn 3-year auction and see the risk skewed toward a small tail.  Our logic is straightforward; net new issuance is the highest for a Refunding week since August 2012, technicals are bearish, yields remain low in outright terms, and the looming ...

Sluggish Productivity

Tuesday, August 9th, 2016

Via Luke Kawa at Bloomberg: Luke Kawa LJKawa August 9, 2016 — 7:19 AM EDT A pair of better than expected non-farm payrolls reports affirms that the U.S. economy doesn't have a new problem, that is, a rapid slowdown in job growth — just the same old one: sluggish productivity. And monetary policymakers will be ...

Kinks in the UK Curve

Tuesday, August 9th, 2016

I was down in beautiful Charlottesville Virginia for a week and returned last evening. I note that the 10 year Gilt has enjoyed quite a romp versus the 10 year Treasury. on the morning of August 1 the 10 year gilt traded 78 basis points through the US (.71 and ...

FX

Tuesday, August 9th, 2016

Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman: Sterling Slips to a Four-Week Low In an otherwise uneventful foreign exchange market, sterling's slide for its fifth consecutive session is the highlight Another economic feature of the session was the Chinese inflation data The US calendar features include Q2 productivity and unit ...

Unintended Consequences

Tuesday, August 9th, 2016

Excellent article via WSJ: By Vipal Monga and Heather Gillers Aug. 8, 2016 6:36 p.m. ET 2 COMMENTS When Quincy, Mass., Mayor Thomas Koch looked into borrowing $38 million this summer as an advance on a planned bond issue, he was distressed to find the costs had jumped nearly 60% since January. Around the same time, ...

Negative Rate Quandary for Central Bankers

Tuesday, August 9th, 2016

Via WSJ: By Georgi Kantchev, Christopher Whittall and Miho Inada Updated Aug. 8, 2016 7:34 p.m. ET 2 KORSCHENBROICH, Germany—Two years ago, the European Central Bank cut interest rates below zero to encourage people such as Heike Hofmann, who sells fruits and vegetables in this small city, to spend more. Policy makers in Europe and Japan have ...