Archive for August, 2016

FX

Friday, August 12th, 2016

Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman: Summer Markets Grind into the Weekend Quiet, uneventful trading characterizes this summer Friday China's data suggest not just a slowing of the economic activity but lending as well Eurozone Q2 GDP confirmed at 0.3%, but the composition was different than expected US retail sales ...

Early FX

Friday, August 12th, 2016

Via Kit Juckes at SocGen: <http://www.sgmarkets.com/r/?id=h11248cf7,17fd8603,17fd8604&p1=136122&p2=0a2199ddc501ca4a253b51c5fa12b80d> Markets continue to gorge themselves on easy money. New highs in US equities have helped support Treasury yields (10s at 1.54%), but not enough to bother Asian equities which are generally higher, while oil prices are up a bit and generally slightly steadier. In all of ...

Some Corporate Bond Stuff

Friday, August 12th, 2016

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: Volume Lower as Issuance Takes the Focus 2016-08-12 09:33:39.793 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- Secondary IG trading ended with a Trace count of $14.6b vs $15.6b Wednesday, $16.4b the previous Thursday. 10-DMA $15.0b; 10-Thursday moving avg $15.8b. * 144a trading added $2.1b of IG volume vs $2.2b Wednesday, $1.7b last Thursday * The most ...

Dealer Positions

Friday, August 12th, 2016

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: Dealer Positions in Long IG Corporates Fall $1.4b 2016-08-12 09:38:50.40 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- Dealer positions in all corporate bonds rise $572m to $17.6b in the week through August 3, according to Fed NY release. * $6.5b low Oct. 2015; high $45.9b March 2014 * Investment grade positions: * Very short issues fell ...

Credit Pipeline

Friday, August 12th, 2016

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT PIPELINE: List Remains Long, Issuance Is the Focus 2016-08-12 09:03:28.846 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- LATEST UPDATES * Israel Electric (ISRELE) Baa2/BBB-; said to hire C, JPM for at least $500m bond sale in 4Q MANDATES/MEETINGS * Sumitomo Life (SUMILF) A3/BBB+; investor mtg July 19 * Woori Bank (WOORIB) A2/A-; mtgs July 11-20 M&A-RELATED * Analog ...

Repo Makes a Comeback

Thursday, August 11th, 2016

Via Bloomberg: The nation’s debt backs growing amount of tri-party repos Share of deals reaches 47%, most since Fed data began in 2010 A crucial corner of the bond market is signaling that dealers are having an easier time financing their Treasuries holdings, reducing concern that liquidity has become strained in trading ...

The Bill Comes Due

Thursday, August 11th, 2016

Via WSJ: By AnnaMaria Andriotis Aug. 11, 2016 12:30 p.m. ET The bill is coming due for many homeowners on a type of loan that was widely popular in the run-up to the housing bust, causing a rise in delinquencies at banks. More homeowners are missing payments on their home-equity lines of credit, or ...

Long Bond Auction Result

Thursday, August 11th, 2016

Via Ian Lyngen: * This afternoon's 30-year auction was average with an on-the-screws stop and non-dealer bidding above the norm at 72.4% vs. 67% average. * 30-year auction stops at 2.274% vs. 2.274% 1pm WI. * Dealers were awarded 27.7% vs. 33% average of the last four 30-year Refundings. * Indirects get 61.5% vs. ...

Overnight Data Preview

Thursday, August 11th, 2016

Via Robert Sinche at Amherst Pierpont Securities: CHINA: An important update on developments in growth during 3Q, which has the potential to show a modest acceleration. The BBerg consensus expects Industrial Production will have risen 6.2% YOY in July, the same as June, while Retail Sales growth slowed slightly to 10.5% ...

Lengthening the Nations Debt

Thursday, August 11th, 2016

This is an interesting article by Kenneth Rogoff in which he argues that the US should be lengthening the maturity of its debt. I have thought that for quite some time. Corporate treasurers have used this window of extraordinarily low rates to engage in an orgy of financing. It would ...