Archive for June, 2016

FX

Monday, June 20th, 2016

Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman: The Week Ahead is All about Europe German Constitutional Court decision on OMT EMU flash PMI UK Referendum TLTRO II Market participants reacted enthusiastically to confirmation of that what suspected at the end of last week.  The murder of UK MP Cox served ...

Some Corporate Bond Stuff

Monday, June 20th, 2016

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: Trading Lowest in Weeks, Issuance Lowest Since Feb. 2016-06-20 09:36:37.710 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- Secondary IG trading ended with a Trace count of $9.7b Friday, the lowest since Memorial Day, vs $14.9b Thursday, $10.7b the previous Friday. 10-DMA $13.9b; 10-Friday moving avg $11.7b. * 144a trading added $1.4b of IG volume Friday ...

Regarding Negative Interest Rate Carnage

Monday, June 20th, 2016

Via Tracy Alloway at Bloomberg: Jun 20, 2016 Negative Rates Are the Tools of Our Elderly Oppressors A "pattern of intergenerational conflict" sparked by ultra-low returns, according to Citigroup. Tracy Alloway June 20, 2016 — 5:17 AM EDT Here is a diagram of things disliked by the young and the old, that may or may not ...

Brexit Compendium

Monday, June 20th, 2016

Via Bloomberg: Previous polls showing ‘Leave’ ahead sparked market turmoil Odds tracker shows chances for Brexit dropping to about 30% The pound climbed the most since 2008, spurring a global rally in higher-yielding currencies, as polls signaled the campaign for the U.K to stay in the European Union was gaining momentum.   Sterling’s ...

Electric Car Surge

Monday, June 20th, 2016

This WSJ article that demand for gasoline will slump in coming decades as electric cars win the hearts and minds and wallets of consumers. This article answers one question which has always troubled me. If everyone plugs in then how do utilities handle that surge in demand. According to the ...

Credit Pipeline

Monday, June 20th, 2016

Via Blooomberg: IG CREDIT PIPELINE: More Issuers Hold Investor Calls This Week 2016-06-20 09:24:31.685 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- LATEST UPDATES * Molson Coors Brewing (TAP) Baa2/BBB-, asked BofAML/C/UBS to arrange investor calls June 21-22 in preparation for USD, Euro and/or Canadian dollar transactions to perhaps follow; expects to issue up to $6.8b in new debt to help ...

Early FX

Monday, June 20th, 2016

Via Kit Juckes at SocGen; <http://www.sgmarkets.com/r/?id=h10c1e845,175f18e3,175f18e4&p1=136122&p2=821130c2a68a3dc296a8948f74eff81d> Asian markets are ‘risk-on' as the market bets that UK will remain in the EU. 10yr Bond yield are a handful of basis points higher, equities are up across Asia and oil and commodity prices are also a bit firmer. The pound leads the FX charge, ...

Markets Euphoric

Monday, June 20th, 2016

I was not an active market participant on Friday but instead proudly wore my grandfather hat. If you are anywhere near Long Island I highly recommend the Aviation Museum which chronicles the history of man's attempt to fly.Much of that history took place here. Lindbergh took off from here on ...

Uttering the “R” Word

Sunday, June 19th, 2016

Via the WSJ: Economy The Outlook Economic Gauges Raise Specter of Recession Closely watched indicators sour, as economists scramble to assess risk Slipping auto sales are considered a sign of an economic downturn. Here, a car dealer in By Ben Leubsdorf Updated June 19, 2016 5:28 p.m. ET 15 COMMENTS Gut-wrenching gyrations in financial markets early in the ...

Squeezing Margins

Sunday, June 19th, 2016

Via WSJ: Rising Wages Will Pressure Corporate Profits Companies like Netflix, Nike, and Deere could outperform more labor-intensive companies like FedEx and VF Corp. as wages start to climb. By Ben Levisohn June 18, 2016 Good things come to those who wait—and U.S. workers have waited a long time to get a raise. Their increased pay ...