Archive for June, 2016

Looking For Wider Corporate Bond Spreads

Monday, June 27th, 2016

Via Bloomberg:   Morgan Stanley, UBS tell clients to keep money in cash U.S. junk, investment-grade bonds seen extending declines   Morgan Stanley and UBS Group AG are telling their clients to brace for deeper losses in U.S. credit as a result of the U.K. vote to leave the European Union. While the "leave" camp’s win ...

Next Stop on 10 Year Note 1 Percent and a Look at Highest Treasury Coupons Ever

Monday, June 27th, 2016

This Bloomberg story cites two market pundits and prognosticators who envision 1 percent 10 year yields and 2 percent 30 year bond yields by year end. To quote the Bard of Forest Hills, Paul Simon, "Who am I to blow against the wind"? Every once in a while in my ...

Cogent Commentary

Monday, June 27th, 2016

This one is from my friend and former colleague Steve Liddy. He regularly writes about the markets. Via Steve Liddy: The thing I'm watching, for the moment, is the collateral market. With UK banks down 30+%, from their Thursday closes, and other global banks suffering in kind, I remind you of what ...

More on Spread Widening

Monday, June 27th, 2016

Via Bloomberg: Katie Linsell KatieLinsell June 27, 2016 — 6:25 AM EDT Cost of insuring corporate debt climbs to four-month highs No new issuance on Monday amid market uncertainty on way ahead   Corporate-bond risk soared for a second day in Europe as the deepening political crisis sparked by the U.K.’s vote to leave the European Union ...

FX

Monday, June 27th, 2016

Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman: Drivers for the Week Ahead An issue on the lips of many is whether Brexit has started a movement If the EU Summit is the most important event in the week ahead, the high-level meeting between Turkey and EU officials is the second ...

Why Betting Markets Misjudged Brexit Result

Monday, June 27th, 2016

Via WSJ: By Jon Sindreu June 26, 2016 5:22 p.m. ET 15 COMMENTS When Britain’s soccer Premier League started its latest season in August of last year, bookmakers said Leicester City, a team from England’s midlands, only had a 0.0002% chance of winning it all. When Leicester lifted the trophy at the end of ...

Credit Pipeline

Monday, June 27th, 2016

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT PIPELINE: Lots of Possibles If the Tone Is Right 2016-06-27 09:23:37.479 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- LATEST UPDATES * Microsoft (MSFT) Aaa/AAA, added to list of possible issuers, says Morningstar; also notes PG, DOV as potentials * Sumitomo Life (SUMILF) A3/BBB+, to hold an investor meeting July 19, via BofAML; focus to be on ...

Wider Corporate Bond Spreads

Monday, June 27th, 2016

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: Volume Lower, Spreads Jump Wider 2016-06-27 09:31:50.60 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- Secondary IG trading ended with a Trace count of $8.9b Friday vs $11.9b Thursday, $9.7b the previous Friday. 10-DMA $12.5b; 10-Friday moving avg $11.2b. * 144a trading added $1.9b of IG volume Friday vs $1.9b on Thursday, $1.4b last Friday * Most ...

Treasury Market Musings

Monday, June 27th, 2016

The Treasury curve has flattened appreciably overnight. Last night around 930PM New York time 5s 10s was 49.4 basis point. That spread had narrowed to 47.3 several minutes ago. Similarly, the 5s 30s spread has narrowed to 130 basis points from 134.8 last night.  

Italy Considers Bolstering Banks’ Capital

Monday, June 27th, 2016

Via Bloomberg: Sonia Sirletti ssirletti June 27, 2016 — 3:02 AM EDT Updated on June 27, 2016 — 3:46 AM EDT Government said to consider different measures to help banks Final amount said under discussion, no final decision taken   Italy is considering injecting capital into some lenders after the U.K.’s vote to leave the European Union sparked ...