Archive for March, 2016

Philly Fed

Thursday, March 17th, 2016

Via TDSecurities: US:  Philly Fed Index Back In Expansionary Territory ·         The Philly Fed index surprised pleasantly, with the headline index rising to a one-year high of 12.4 in March from -2.8. ·         The sharp rebound in the index was a far better performance than the market consensus for a more modest rise ...

What to Watch Today

Thursday, March 17th, 2016

Via Bloomberg: WHAT TO WATCH: * (All times New York) * Economic Data * 8:30am: Current Account Balance, 4Q, est. -$118b (prior -$124.1b) * 8:30am: Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook, March, est. -1.5 (prior -2.8) * 8:30am: Initial Jobless Claims, March 12, est. 268k (prior 259k) * Continuing Claims, March 5, est. 2.235m (est. 2.225m) * 9:45am: Bloomberg Economic Expectations, March (prior 42.5) * Bloomberg ...

FX

Thursday, March 17th, 2016

Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman: Dollar Drop Extends Post-Fed; Stocks, Bonds, and Commodities Rally The Federal Reserve's cautiousness has sent the dollar reeling The Swiss National Bank did not change its stance; the Norges Bank delivered the widely anticipated 25 bp rate cut Japan reported a smaller than expected trade surplus in ...

Caterpillar Warns

Thursday, March 17th, 2016

I suspect this is the reason for equity futures stumble. Via Bloomberg: First-quarter adjusted EPS will be in the range of $0.65 - $0.75, vs. estimates of $0.95. Shares fell 1.5 percent in pre-market trading.

Tough Times for Goldman Sachs

Thursday, March 17th, 2016

Via Bloomberg: s trading revenue may slide 17%, Credit Suisse analysts say Executives said to brace for 25% drop in investment banking As Wall Street leaders warn publicly about this quarter’s plunging revenue from trading and deals, Goldman Sachs Group Inc., the bank most reliant on those operations, has provided no guidance. The ...

Weak Exports In Japan Paint Gloomy Picture

Thursday, March 17th, 2016

Via Bloomberg (and click here for the charts which do not reproduce well at my low rent retired guy blog!)   Here’s a key takeaway from Japan’s trade data released Thursday: Exports to the U.S., which for most of last year were a bright spot amid slowing demand from China, were almost ...

Corporate Bond Stuff

Thursday, March 17th, 2016

Via Bloomberg; IG CREDIT: High Volume Secondary Trading Wednesday Session Seen 2016-03-17 09:40:04.893 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- Secondary IG trading ended with a Trace count of $20.6b, the 5th highest Wednesday session on record, vs $19.3b Tuesday, $20.8b the previous Wednesday. * 10-DMA $17.9b; 10-Wednesday moving avg $19.1b, a record high since 2005 when the series ...

Taking the Concept of Inelastic Demand Too Far

Thursday, March 17th, 2016

Via Bloomberg: Euroskeptics find common cause with women's rights activists Unpopular tax on sanitary products raises $21 million a year Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne is counting on the European Union to help him avoid a parliamentary rebellion over the so-called “tampon tax” as Conservative Euroskeptics join with women’s rights campaigners in ...

Greg Ip on FOMC

Thursday, March 17th, 2016

Via Greg Ip at WSJ: By Greg Ip Updated March 16, 2016 8:32 p.m. ET The Federal Reserve eased monetary policy on Wednesday, and the global economy is safer for it. No, the Fed didn’t cut interest rates. But monetary policy works through words as well as actions, and Fed officials signaled they ...

More Market Musings

Thursday, March 17th, 2016

Steve Feiss is a strategist at Government Perspectives and is kind enough to send me stuff each morning. Here is some interesting stuff which was in his note to clients this morning. Via Steve Feiss at Government Perspectives: Ø  CitiFX Weekly RoundUP (applying techNAmentals TO CPI and bearish 2s and gold):“No pot ...