Archive for March, 2016

FX

Tuesday, March 22nd, 2016

Via Marc Chandler at brown Brothers Harriman: Terrorist Strike in Brussels Causes Market Angst Bombing in Brussels disrupts capital markets Japan's manufacturing PMI slips below 50 Flash eurozone composite PMI shows improvement, while German sentiment readings are mixed Canada's new government presents its budget US Fed officials playing up likelihood of another rate hike The US ...

What to Watch Today

Tuesday, March 22nd, 2016

Via Bloomberg: WHAT TO WATCH: * (All times New York) * Economic Data * 9:00am: FHFA House Price Index m/m, Jan., est. 0.5% (prior 0.4%) * 9:45am: Markit US Manufacturing PMI, March P, est. 51.9 (prior 51.3) * 10:00am: Richmond Fed Mfg Index, March., est. 0 (prior -4) * Central Banks * 12:30pm: Fed’s Evans speaks in Chicago * 7:00pm: Fed’s Harker ...

Lockhart Calls For Higher Rates Soon

Monday, March 21st, 2016

Via Bloomberg: Fed’s Lockhart Urges Higher Rates, ‘Possibly Relatively Soon’ 2016-03-21 16:40:00.10 GMT By Steve Matthews (Bloomberg) -- Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Dennis Lockhart says while he backed the Federal Open Market Committee decision to keep interest rates unchanged last week, continued economic growth is likely to require further normalization later this year. * “Although I believe ...

Credit Musings

Monday, March 21st, 2016

Via Bloomberg:   (Bloomberg) -- Sanofi and Sysco might be the best bets for deals over the next 3 days, Bloomberg’s Robert Elson writes. Thursday is a 1/2-day session in front of the Good Friday close. The calendar for today is empty, so far Bloomberg survey of dealers and clients has 52% looking for ...

Barclays on Brexit

Monday, March 21st, 2016

Via Bloomberg: ’Brexit’ May Push GBP Down 10%, Euro-Area GDP to Zero: Barclays 2016-03-21 10:23:00.826 GMT By Deborah L Hyde (Bloomberg) -- A U.K. vote to leave the EU after the June 23 referendum would likely weigh on GBP, bull-steepen short- sterling and spur further policy easing from the ECB and BOE, Barclays’s analysts led by Philippe ...

Oil Hedging

Monday, March 21st, 2016

This article bolsters my long held belief that the only perfect hedge is in a Japanese garden! Via the WSJ: By Susan Carey March 20, 2016 7:01 p.m. ET After decades of spending billions of dollars to hedge against rising fuel costs, more airlines, including some of the world’s largest, are backing off after ...

Corporate Bond Stuff

Monday, March 21st, 2016

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: 10-Friday Moving Average Hits Record High 2016-03-21 09:42:19.911 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- Secondary IG trading ended with a Trace count of $14.1b vs $17.8b Thursday, $15.2b the previous Friday. * 10-DMA $17.5b; 10-Friday moving avg $15.4b, the highest on record since the series began in March 2005 * 144a trading added $2.8b ...

More FX

Monday, March 21st, 2016

Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman: Drivers--When a Quarter is Two Halves After a horrific start of the year, the global capital markets have recovered in recent weeks The ECB, BOJ, PBOC, RBNZ, Norges Bank have eased policy in recent weeks and the Federal Reserve scaled back anticipated hikes US economy is not ...

Lacker Confident Inflation Will Return to 2 Percent

Monday, March 21st, 2016

Via Bloomberg: Says strong U.S. dollar, oil price drop will be temporary Inflation expectations are anchored, official says in Paris Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Jeffrey Lacker said that inflation will rise back to the U.S. central bank’s 2 percent target once energy prices stabilize and the dollar stops advancing. “I am reasonably confident ...

Early FX

Monday, March 21st, 2016

Via Kit Juckes at SocGen: http://www.sgmarkets.com/r/?id=h101a19a5,1653ca6b,1653ca6c&p1=136122&p2=5ec369c9abe36cbda5978fdf0c6c0228> Daily link above. Slowish Monday with China up, oil down, Sterling IDS-ed....I'm celebrating Spring in Northern Finnish sunshine....and snow The first day of spring in the Northern hemisphere (and Autumn in the South) sees a week with limited economic data and perhaps a lack of new drivers ...