Archive for February, 2016

Bullard Shifts to Dove Camp

Wednesday, February 17th, 2016

Via Reuters: t would be "unwise" for the U.S. Federal Reserve to continue hiking interest rates given declining inflation expectations and recent equity market volatility, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said on Wednesday in comments that mark a stark change of direction for one of the Fed's more hawkish inflation ...

FOMC Minutes

Wednesday, February 17th, 2016

Via Millan Mulraine at TDSecurities: US:  Fed Moves to the Sideline ·         The minutes of the January FOMC meeting signal a pivot in the Fed’s monetary policy stance amid the increased uncertainty about the outlook for growth and inflation. ·         In effect, the minutes suggest that the Fed has moved to the ...

Housing Starts and PPI

Wednesday, February 17th, 2016

Via Stephen Stanley at Amherst Pierpont Securities: January housing starts were a big disappointment, falling 3.8% to a 1.099 million unit annualized pace.  Single-family starts declined modestly for a second straight month after having surged in November.  Meanwhile, the volatile multi-unit sector also posted a modest fall in January, quite a ...

Housing Starts

Wednesday, February 17th, 2016

Via FTN Financial: Both housing starts and building permits slowed in January. Building permits fell only slightly, down 0.2% to a 1,202k annual rate. Housing starts unexpectedly fell 3.8% to a 1,099k annual rate in January, with December starts revised down slightly from 1,149k to 1,143k. ·         Housing starts fell across all ...

Industrial Production

Wednesday, February 17th, 2016

Via Millan Mulraine at TDSecurities: TD SECURITIES DATAFLASH US:  Industrial Production Rebounds Strongly *        US industrial production rose at a robust 0.9% m/m pace in January, bettering the market expectation for a more modest 0.4% m/m advance. *        The gains were broadly based, with manufacturing and utility output ...

JPMorgan Duration Survey

Wednesday, February 17th, 2016

This is already in the market as it was out around 730AM but I was at the gym on the stairmaster but I send it out for the edification of readers. Via Bloomberg: RATES: Clients Exit Longs & Shorts in Latest JPM Survey 2016-02-17 12:18:10.403 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- The JPMorgan Treasury Client ...

Today’s Corporate Bond Calendar

Wednesday, February 17th, 2016

Via Bloomberg: (Bloomberg) -- List of new issues expected to price today: * Electronic Arts $benchmark (Baa2/BBB-) * 5Y (IPT +275a) * 10Y (IPT +325a) * Books: BofAML, JPM * Kimberly-Clark $800m (A2/A) * 3Y (IPT +60-65) * 10Y (IPT +105-110) * Books: C, DB, JPM * Ryder System $300m (will not grow) Baa1/BBB * Long 5Y MTN (IPT +250a) * Books: ...

What to Watch Today

Wednesday, February 17th, 2016

Via Bloomberg: * (All times New York) * Economic Data * 7:00am: MBA Mortgage Applications, Feb. 12 (prior 9.3%) * 8:30am: Housing Starts, Jan., est 1.173m (prior 1.149m) * Housing Starts m/m Jan., est. 2.0% (prior -2.5%) * Building Permits, Jan., est. 1.2m (prior 1.232m, revised 1.204m) * Building Permits m/m, Jan., est. -0.3% (prior -3.9%, revised 6.1%) * 8:30am: ...

FX

Wednesday, February 17th, 2016

Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman: Dollar Firms, Equities Gain - Global equity markets continue to claw back some of their recent losses - The UK reported mixed January labor market data - Abe advisor Etsuro Honda said that the BOJ could add to its stimulus program as early as the March 14-15 ...

Overnight Treasury Flow

Wednesday, February 17th, 2016

Dealers who are kind enough to write to me report that central banks bought 10 year notes last evening and japan based end users bought 3s and 5s.