Archive for October, 2015

ECB Views

Wednesday, October 21st, 2015

This is via a fully paid up subscriber from across the pond. I have no idea regarding his source for this: ECB VIEW: ***Below are bank views for Thurs Governing Council meeting in Malta: - Barclays: Expect GC to reiterate its willingness, ability and readiness to act. Do not think ECB will extend ...

“Greece on a More Colossal Scale”

Tuesday, October 20th, 2015

The NYTimes had a very long article on the pension crisis in Brazil. For some reason I was unable to cut and paste the article into this blog. However reason magazine has a story about the giant problem . One commentator in the article describes it as "Greece on a ...

Declining Vol

Tuesday, October 20th, 2015

Via Bloomberg: Treasuries Volatility Drops Toward '15 Low as Fed Seen Sidelined Kevin Buckland October 20, 2015 — 8:49 PM EDT Treasuries investors are paring bets for price swings toward the lowest level this year as the odds recede for the Federal Reserve’s first interest-rate increase since 2006 to come by December. A gauge of ...

Regulating the Treasury Market

Tuesday, October 20th, 2015

For the most part the Treasury market is an oasis  unfettered by rules and regulations under which other fixed income and equity markets operate. There is an appalling  lack of transparency as there is no Trace system and there is no "tape" as there is in the equity market. Notwithstanding ...

Overnight Data Preview

Tuesday, October 20th, 2015

Via Robert Sinche at Amherst Pierpont Securities: AUSTRALIA: The level of vacancies for skilled workers rebounded in 2014 but has stabilized this year. Reflecting the sharp reductions of capital spending and skilled workers needed to produce new capital equipment and structures, the level of skilled vacancies remains about ½ of the ...

New Issue Calendar

Tuesday, October 20th, 2015

Via the good folks at Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: List of New Issues Expected to Price in U.S. Today 2015-10-20 14:01:00.0 GMT By Allan Lopez (Bloomberg) -- List of new issues expected to price today: * FedEx $benchmark Baa1/BBB * 30Y * IPT: +210/215 * Books: MIZ, MS, WFS * National Rural Utilities $benchmark A1/A * 5Y, 10Y collateral trust bonds * ...

Housing Starts

Tuesday, October 20th, 2015

Via Stephen Stanley at Amherst Pierpont Securities: Housing starts rebounded to a higher-than-expected level of 1.206 million units annualized in September, led by a jump in multi-family starts.  In fact, both starts and permits were essentially flat for single-family homes last month (at 740K and 697K respectively).  The traditionally less volatile ...

Seasonal Hiring

Tuesday, October 20th, 2015

WSJ reports that Amazon plans to hire 100,000 workers to deliver packages during the Christmas season. That is up from 80,000 last year. Sounds great but brick and mortar guys expect no increase so this is mostly Amazon cannibalizing its brick and mortar competitors as it gains a larger share ...

Cad Dollar

Tuesday, October 20th, 2015

TDSecurities does not believe that the election result will have lasting impact on the currency. Via TDSecurities (an excerpt from a longer note): The CAD is unchanged after the Liberal party unseated the conservatives and will form a majority government for their first time since 2004. In general, we note that it is fairly uncommon ...

FX

Tuesday, October 20th, 2015

Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman: Dollar Softer in Another Turnaround Tuesday - US Treasury’s report on foreign exchange and international economics highlighted Chinese outflows and Taiwan’s intervention - Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party won a surprise majority in Canada’s election - San Francisco Fed President John Williams added to the timing debate yesterday, ...