Archive for October, 2015

Secondary market Trading of Corporates Yesterday

Thursday, October 22nd, 2015

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: Highest Volume Since Sept. 30; 2 Set to Price 2015-10-22 10:22:23.206 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- Secondary IG trading ended with a Trace count of $17.4b vs $16.7b Tuesday, $16b the previous Wednesday. 10-DMA $13.4b; 10-Wednesday moving avg $16.3b, the highest since late June. * 144a trading added $3b of IG volume vs ...

What to Watch for Today

Thursday, October 22nd, 2015

Via Bloomberg: WHAT TO WATCH: * (All times New York) * Economic Data * Economic Data * 8:30am: Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index, Sept., est. -0.2 * Initial Jobless Claims, Oct. 17, est. 265k (prior 255k) * Continuing Claims, Oct. 10, est. 2.190m (prior 2.158m) * 9:00am: FHFA House Price Index m/m, Aug. est. 0.5% (prior 0.6%) * 9:45am: Bloomberg Consumer Comfort, ...

Portugal Bonds Languishing

Thursday, October 22nd, 2015

Via FT: Portugal's bonds squeezed amid wait for new PM   Bond investors have been unsettled by the prospect of an anti-austerity government backed by the hard left taking office following Portugal's inconclusive general election three weeks ago. Today Portugal's government bonds are lagging their eurozone peers, as they have since the general election, ...

FX

Thursday, October 22nd, 2015

Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman: Dollar Mixed Ahead of ECB Decision Many observers expect a dovish tilt as Draghi prepares to expand QE in December We feel that today's ECB meeting is still too early in the process to expect an agreement on further action UK retail sales for September were considerably ...

50 Year Bonds

Wednesday, October 21st, 2015

Randall Forsyth at Barrons has written an informative article making the case for the Treasury to issue 50 year bonds. Via Randall Forsyth at Barron's: By Randall W. Forsyth Oct. 21, 2015 12:39 a.m. ET “Time passes and love fades.” So sums up IBM’s Watson supercomputer the themes of Bob Dylan’s lyrics in a current ...

Overnight Data Preview

Wednesday, October 21st, 2015

Via Robert Sinche at Amherst Pierpont Securities: ECB: The ECB will conclude its two-day Meeting with its announcement and Press Conference. While there is a great deal of talk about additional actions, I doubt anything substantive will be announced. First, the current program runs through September 2016…so no great hurry to ...

Rail Car Orders Experience Huge Drop

Wednesday, October 21st, 2015

Steve Feiss is an interest rate strategist at boutique firm Government Perspectives. In a note he wrote this morning he points out a Bloomberg story on a plunge in rail car orders. Orders plunged 83 percent in and suffered their biggest drop since 1988. You can follow Steve Feiss @stevefeiss. Via Bloomberg: Railcar ...

Victory Comes at High Cost

Wednesday, October 21st, 2015

I just posted a Bloomberg story on OPEC's victory in the war against shale oil producers. That victory came at a heavy price as the severe drop in price has caused immense fiscal pain for Saudi Arabia and the other Gulf states. The IMF has warned that countries in the ...

OPEC Stratgey Working

Wednesday, October 21st, 2015

Bloomberg reports that the OPEC strategy to crush the marginal producers of oil by oversupplying the market is working as US output slips. Via Bloomberg: U.S. oil output almost back down to level of last OPEC meeting Saudi-led strategy is paying off, says Societe Generale After a year suffering the economic consequences of the ...

FX

Wednesday, October 21st, 2015

Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman: Dollar Firmer as Markets Await Fresh Drivers - The dollar is broadly firmer as markets await fresh drivers - The Bank of Canada meets today and no change in policy is expected - The ECB meets tomorrow, and some market participants may be disappointed by ...