Archive for September, 2015

Credit Spreads at Multi Year Wides

Tuesday, September 29th, 2015

This is the piece from Bloomberg I regularly post which chronicles secondary market trading of corporates the previous day. In the story today it notes various indices at multi year wides. Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: Spreads Hit Multi-Year Wides; Issuance Has Problems 2015-09-29 10:13:58.379 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- Secondary IG trading ended with ...

New York Apartment Prices Slip in Q3

Tuesday, September 29th, 2015

I was talking to a friend who formerly lived in New York and now lives on the West Coast but now wants to return to the Right Coast after a decade away. She has been searching for an apartment on the Upper West Side and told me of bidding wars ...

Overnight Data

Monday, September 28th, 2015

Via Robert Sinche at Amherst Pierpont Securities: INDIA: The RBI is expected to reduce its Repurchase rate by 25bp to 7.0%, according to the BBerg consensus, still well above the headline of inflation rate of 3.7%. JAPAN: The Bberg consensus expects the Small Business Confidence index to slip back to 48.3 for ...

Qatar SWF Takes Hit

Monday, September 28th, 2015

Qatar (needs to buy a vowel) maintains a $250 billion sovereign wealth fund and that fund is a little poorer following recent price action. The FT reports the fund shrank by $12 billion this quarter as losses on Volkswagen, Glencore and Agricultural Bank of China produced substantial losses. Via the FT: Qatar’s ...

Technicals

Monday, September 28th, 2015

Via David Ader and Ian Lyngen at CRT Capital (excerpt from longer note): We've been focused on a potential head & shoulders in the 10-year sector and Monday's price action has confirmed the formation with a break of the 200-day moving-average at 2.12%.  The 'small' projection of the relatively measured move ...

Demographic Trends

Monday, September 28th, 2015

My friend and former colleague Steve Liddy forwarded this article by Luke Kawa  (friend of this blog)of Bloomberg. It is an exceptional recapitulation of the demographic forces which have shaped the last several decades and how those changing demographic factors will manifest in the future. Via Bloomberg: The Three Major Trends that Shaped ...

New Issue Calendar

Monday, September 28th, 2015

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: List of New Issues Expected to Price in U.S. Today 2015-09-28 14:01:00.0 GMT By Allan Lopez (Bloomberg) -- List of new issues expected to price today: * PECO Energy $350m (will not grow) Aa3/A- * 10Y FMB * IPT: +125 area * Books: CS, MUFG, Scotia * PPL Electric Utilities $350m (will not grow) A1/A * ...

Spending and Income

Monday, September 28th, 2015

Via TDSecurities: TD SECURITIES DATAFLASH                    US: Personal Spending Buoyant, But Inflation Still Subdued ·         Personal spending was broadly in line with consensus, up 0.4% m/m. In real spending was also decent, gaining 0.4% m/m, which is quite strong and is in-line with our expectation for a 2.3% to 2.5% Q3 GDP growth performance. ·         ...

More FX

Monday, September 28th, 2015

Via Kit Juckes at SocGen: <http://www.sgresearch.com/r/?id=heb825c2,142e2df3,142e2df4&p1=136122&p2=808f56f22f8381df66bac85e67280ed1> http://www.sgresearch.com/r/?id=heb8e763,142f3707,142f3708&p1=136122&p2=f879fea9a0aad592587a981a05e1a8a1 Good morning. From  a damp morning in Toronto. If a red sky at night is a shepherd's delight, what does that make a red mood? I hope, in any case, that shepherds are happier than the Norwegian krone, or indeed than the majority of EM currencies ...

Spanish Elections

Monday, September 28th, 2015

Secessionist parties in Catalan failed to garner a majority in weekend elections and Spanish bonds are rallying against Bunds and Treasuries. I follow the spread versus Treasuries and that spread which was 14 through on Friday AM is now 20 rich to US in the 10 year sector. Click the link for ...