Archive for August, 2015

JPM Duration Survey

Tuesday, August 25th, 2015

Via Bloomberg: RATES: Longs Rise, Shorts Fall in Latest JPM Survey 2015-08-25 12:30:06.168 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- The JPMorgan Treasury Client Survey for the week ended August 24 vs week ended Aug. 17. * Longs 17 vs 15 * Neutrals 61 vs 59 * Shorts 22 vs 26 * Net longs -5 vs -11 * "The all clients ...

FX

Tuesday, August 25th, 2015

Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman:  Turnaround Tuesday with Bonus Rate Cut - China cut rates - Despite a mixed session in Asia, markets woke up in reversal mode in Europe even before the rate cut - Hamada, an advisor to Japan PM Abe, fuelled calls for authorities to take more action - German ...

Regarding China Policy Moves

Tuesday, August 25th, 2015

This is an excerpt from the morning research note at TDSecurities which provides details of the moves by China: "Global markets have for the most part rebounded this morning, happy to let China's problems stay in China. This is likely to be reinforced as China has just announced a number of easing measures. ...

RBS on ECB

Tuesday, August 25th, 2015

Via a fully paid up subscriber: EUROZONE VIEW: RBS says it expects QE2 from the ECB before the end of the year. - "We previously thought the ECB would have to acknowledge the deterioration in inflation dynamics in its December forecasts, announcing in the occasion an extension or acceleration of its public ...

Corporate Bonds

Tuesday, August 25th, 2015

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: Secondary Trading Volume Remains Low, Spreads Wider 2015-08-25 09:58:16.14 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- Secondary IG trading ended with a Trace count of $7.9b vs $7.3b Friday, $9.7b the previous Monday. 10- DMA $11.6b; 10-Monday moving avg $10.6b, lowest since Sept. * 144a trading added $1.8b of IG volume vs $1.3b on ...

Early FX

Tuesday, August 25th, 2015

For context this piece from Kit Juckes was sent at 342AM New York time: <http://www.sgresearch.com/r/?id=he78ca39,13cab6ab,13cab6ac&p1=136122&p2=0295fedd887cb263d35f42ff55205367> After vertiginous falls by many equity markets yesterday, and dramatic moves in many currency pairs, with the yen and euro ‘winning' while China and commodity-sensitive currencies were beaten up, the ‘traditional' Tuesday reaction would be for a ...

Overnight Treasury Flow

Tuesday, August 25th, 2015

Dealers report mostly better buying in the overnight session. Japanese end users bought the 10 year through 12 year sector. Asian central banks sold 10s. Bank portfolios and fast money bought 5s. Volume was very heavy. One dealer in a note sent at 149AM New York time reported that about $3billion ...

Asian Treasury Flow

Monday, August 24th, 2015

One dealer reports Japanese end users selling in the 3 year to 5 year sector. Volume is once again quite heavy with $1.1 billion 5s and $1.5 billion 10s having traded already.

Activists Lobby Against Rate Hike

Monday, August 24th, 2015

Liberal activists have descended on Jackson Hole Wyoming, site of an annual Federal Reserve economic symposium, to argue against a potential rate hike. The assembled Progressive throng argues that the economy is not yet strong enough to absorb a 25 basis point rate hike. Via TheHill.com: Liberal activists are descending upon a ...

Weak Opening in Asia

Monday, August 24th, 2015

Via the FT: It's early days, but the few Asian benchmarks that have begun trading aren't off to a brilliant start. Japan's Nikkei 225 is down 3.7 per cent, which is more than double the decline predicted by futures. The broader Topix index is down 4.3 per cent. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 is down ...