Archive for August, 2015

Disrespecting the 2 Year Note

Tuesday, August 4th, 2015

Vi Bloomberg; JPMorgan Says Get Out of U.S. Two-Year Notes Before Fed Moves by Wes Goodman August 3, 2015 — 9:24 PM EDT Treasury short-term yields may almost double and prices will fall as the Federal Reserve prepares to raise interest rates, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. Two-year yields will climb to 1.25 percent ...

Corporate Pipeline

Tuesday, August 4th, 2015

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT PIPELINE: CITNAT, RBS, CBRE Possible This Week 2015-08-04 09:35:48.717 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- The most recent updates to the pipeline: * Kookmin Bank (CITNAT) A1/A, plans 144a/Reg-S 5Y Covered Bonds as soon as this week, via managers BNP/C/SG * Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBS) Ba1/BBB-, mandates BofAML/CS/MS/RBS RBS to arrange investor ...

What to Watch Today

Tuesday, August 4th, 2015

Via Bloomerg: WHAT TO WATCH: * (All times New York) * Economic Data * 9:45am: ISM New York, July (prior 63.1) * 10:00am: Factory Orders, June, est. 1.8% (prior -1%) * Factory Orders Ex Trans, June (prior 0.1%) * (10:00am: IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism, Aug., est. 47.8 (prior 48.1) * Central Banks * 12:30am: Reserve Bank of Australia cash rate, est. ...

Corporate Bond Trading Yesterday

Tuesday, August 4th, 2015

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: MS, TCKBCN, DE Led Trading With Large Client Flows 2015-08-04 09:55:44.742 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- Secondary IG trading ended with a Trace count of $9.9b vs $12.2b Friday, $11.7b the previous Monday. * 10-DMA $13.5b; 10-Monday moving avg $11.4b * 144a trading added $1.3b of IG volume vs $2.6b on Friday, $1.8b ...

FX

Tuesday, August 4th, 2015

Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman: Dollar Block in Focus - The Aussie was bid after supportive data, and the RBA did not talk the currency lower - A poor milk auction later today in New Zealand could bring Kiwi in focus - Despite expectations for supportive news on Thursday, sterling is not ...

Bad Apple

Monday, August 3rd, 2015

Via Bloomberg: Apple Chart Gets Congested as 200-Day Price Runs Into Correction 2015-08-03 16:58:39.117 GMT By Callie Bost (Bloomberg) -- Apple Inc., which narrowly avoided falling into a correction last month, is back at the brink again, this time with another chart level in play. The stock’s retreat Monday pushed it below the 200-day moving average, a level ...

Overnight Data Preview

Monday, August 3rd, 2015

Via Robert Sinche at Amherst Pierpont Securities: AUSTRALIA: The BBerg consensus expects the RBA to keep the policy rate at a record low 2.0% for another month after cutting to that level in May. The consensus also expects a June Trade balance of -$A3.0bn, maintaining the recent range of extremely large ...

Wages

Monday, August 3rd, 2015

Via Robert Sinche at Amherst Pierpont Securities: As Steve Stanley noted last week, the setback in the Employment Cost Index Wage Index in 2Q2015 came as a surprise, but a slowdown that probably does not tell us a lot about the future. As noted in the chart below, the wage gains ...

Hilsenrath Story

Monday, August 3rd, 2015

I am busy being retired today so I have been late posting on the blog. This Hilsenrath story appears to be about 4 hours and 20 minutes old but it is a worthwhile read. The story suggests that FOMC officials would be comfortable raising rates even with wages increasing slowly. ...

Today’s Corporate Issuance

Monday, August 3rd, 2015

I am just reviewing my email and found this one from Bloomberg which I received about an hour and a half ago at 1001AM. I dont know if there have been more announcements since then. Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: List of New Issues Expected to Price in U.S. Today 2015-08-03 14:01:00.0 GMT By Polina ...