Archive for July, 2015
Monday, July 27th, 2015
Light flow in the Treasury market overnight with scattered buying by fast money and banks in the 2 year through 10 year sector.
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Treasury Flow
Monday, July 27th, 2015
Via a fully paid up subscriber:
Nomura: Post their recent call change to bullish duration over the near-term horizon, they believe that it doesn’t seem many were expecting this bull flattening move to continue, nor for it to happen so quickly, nor in the 10s-plus sector. They believe this micro-rally has ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Research Recap
Monday, July 27th, 2015
Via Bloomberg:
IG CREDIT: Volume Lower, Spreads Make New Wides for 2015
2015-07-27 09:58:04.582 GMT
By Robert Elson
(Bloomberg) -- Secondary IG trading ended with a Trace
count of $9.8b Friday vs $14.9b Thursday, $10.2b the previous
Friday. 10-DMA $13.1b; 10-Friday moving avg $10.8b.
* 144a trading added $1.8b of IG volume Friday vs $1.9b on
Thursday, $1.8b ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Spreads Made New Wides Friday
Monday, July 27th, 2015
Normally I headline this story as "Hilsenrath Story" but on this article Jon Hilsenrath is second fiddle and the lead author is Ben Leubsdorf. The story suggests that the monetary solons who assemble this week will offer some clarity regarding the near term course of interest rates. If we truly ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on WSJ Story
Monday, July 27th, 2015
Via Bloomberg:
China Stocks Sink Most Since 2007 as State-Induced Calm Shatters
by Kyoungwha Kim
July 26, 2015 — 9:24 PM EDT
China’s stocks tumbled, with the benchmark index falling the most since February 2007, amid concern a three-week rally sparked by unprecedented government intervention is unsustainable.
The Shanghai Composite Index plunged 8.5 percent to ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Double Diaper Day in Shanghai
Monday, July 27th, 2015
Via Kit Juckes at SocGen:
<http://www.sgresearch.com/r/?id=he451ec4,1377d4b3,1377d4b4&p1=136122&p2=2a5cbd274b942c1dedd91ee6745f3399>
Good Morning. It's taken a single day's trading to wipe out two weeks' worth of bounce in the Shanghai composite equity index. We were 'supposed' be be focusing on the US and the 'will they/won't they hike in September' debate by now, but China/commodities have yet ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Early Morning FX
Sunday, July 26th, 2015
Via the WSJ:
By Dan Strumpf
July 26, 2015 4:35 p.m. ET
0 COMMENTS
Just a few companies are driving the gains in major U.S. stock indexes this year, raising fresh concerns about the health of the market’s advance.
Six firms— Amazon.com Inc., Google Inc., Apple Inc., Facebook Inc., Netflix Inc. and Gilead Sciences Inc. ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Lack of Breadth Signals Trouble Ahead
Sunday, July 26th, 2015
I am currently reading Ron Chernow's biography of George Washington and in it he describes the circumstances which mandated a Constitutional convention. The governing document from the Revolutionary period was the Articles of Confederation and that document provided for a loose confederation of States with a neutered central government. In ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Articles of Confederation Moment?
Sunday, July 26th, 2015
This FT article suggests that the economy has strengthened to the point at which the FOMC might send some signal at this week's confab that a hike is on the autumn schedule.
Via the FT:
Strengthening US economy bolsters case for rate rise
Sam Fleming in Washington
A strengthening economy and gathering momentum in ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on FOMC Quandary
Sunday, July 26th, 2015
Via the WSJ:
By Lynn Cook
July 26, 2015 5:30 a.m. ET
85 COMMENTS
U.S. energy companies are planning more layoffs, asset sales and financial maneuvers to deal with a recent, sudden drop in U.S. crude-oil prices to under $50 a barrel, the lowest level in four months.
The companies had been banking on a ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Energy Layoffs