Archive for June, 2015

End of Day

Tuesday, June 2nd, 2015

Excerpt from end of day note by Ian Lyngen at CRT Capital: Treasuries continued the selloff that developed in the wake of month-end as the new month got underway.  We have Monday's strong ISM to point to as the fundamental trigger, but the balance of the data has been disappointing so ...

Overnight Data Preview

Tuesday, June 2nd, 2015

Via Robert Sinche at Amherst Pierpont Securities: The ECB is widely expected to leave all policy settings unchanged, while late in the day the Brazilian CB is expected to hike another 50bp, taking the Selic Rate to 13.75%, despite ongoing signs of recession. AUSTRALIA: The BBerg consensus expects 1Q2015 Real GDP growth ...

Liquid Monday

Tuesday, June 2nd, 2015

Via Bloomberg: RATES: UST Market Depth Is Best on Mondays YTD, JPM Says 2015-06-02 15:18:10.930 GMT By Katherine Chiglinsky (Bloomberg) -- This marks a change from pattern of past 5 years, during which UST market depth -- as measured by average of top three bids and offers for 10Y note between 8:30am and 10am on BrokerTec -- ...

Factory Orders

Tuesday, June 2nd, 2015

Via Stephen Stanley at Amherst Pierpont Securities: Remember a week ago when the core capital goods orders and shipments figures in the April Durable Goods report were strong, and I said something like ‘this is encouraging but let’s give it a month and see if the rebound can be sustained’?  Well, ...

Today’s New issue Calendar

Tuesday, June 2nd, 2015

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: List of New Issues Expected to Price in U.S. Today 2015-06-02 14:01:00.0 GMT By Allan Lopez (Bloomberg) -- 3 new issues expected to price today: * Autodesk $600m Baa2/BBB * * 5Y, 10Y * IPT 5Y +175/187.5, 10Y +225/237.5 * Books: BofAML, JPM * Rentenbank $1.5b Aaa/AAA * * 10Y Global * Launched MS +10 vs guidance MS +10, ...

Guest Post

Tuesday, June 2nd, 2015

My friend Steve Liddy opines on corporate supply and the depressant effect it has on market. Corporate supply clearly weighing on both spreads and the outright level of rates. Attached is the Bloomberg {busc Index <Go>}, and I have it charted using OAS. This index is now at its widest level, since ...

Record Shorts in JPMorgan Duration Survey

Tuesday, June 2nd, 2015

Via Bloomberg: RATES: Record Net Shorts in Latest JPM Survey 2015-06-02 11:25:14.384 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- The JPMorgan Treasury Client Survey for the week ended June 1 vs weeks ended May 26, 18. * Longs 9 vs 11 vs 9 * Neutrals 50 vs 65 vs 63 * Shorts 41 vs 24 vs 28 * Net longs ...

Treasury Flows

Tuesday, June 2nd, 2015

Earlier I had heard of overseas buying in the 5 year sector and moments ago another note reported that off the run tens had been "mauled". The 7 year sector off the runs are also under performing.

Greek Headlines

Tuesday, June 2nd, 2015

*DIJSSELBLOEM SAYS PROGRESS ON GREECE STILL SLOW, INSUFFICIENT *DIJSSELBLOEM SAYS CREDITORS STILL FAR FROM A DEAL WITH GREECE

Corporate Bond Trading Yesterday

Tuesday, June 2nd, 2015

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: Volume Falls, Spreads Wider; 3 Set to Price 2015-06-02 09:59:42.335 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- Secondary IG trading ended with a Trace count of $13.5b vs $17b Friday. 10-DMA $14.2b. * 144a trading added $1.8b of IG volume vs $1.8b on Friday * The most active issues longer than 3 years: * * QCOM ...