Archive for June, 2015

Today’s Corporate Calendar

Monday, June 8th, 2015

This is very late and I offer my apologies as I am enjoying the fruits of retirement today. Via Bloomberg at 1005AM this morning: IG CREDIT: List of New Issues Expected to Price in U.S. Today 2015-06-08 14:01:00.3 GMT By Allan Lopez (Bloomberg) -- 5 new issues expected to price today: * Exelon $benchmark Baa2/BBB- * * 2Y ...

Overnight Data Preview

Monday, June 8th, 2015

Via Robert Sinche at Amherst Pierpont Securities: AUSTRALIA: The NAB Business Confidence and Business Conditions indexes for May will be released, both of which has signaled sluggish growth conditions over the first 4 months of 2015. CHINA: The BBerg consensus expects the CPI for May to slip to 1.3% YOY after a ...

Death Cross?

Monday, June 8th, 2015

My friend Steve Liddy offers some discourse on a bearish formation for Long Bonds. Via Steve Liddy: Today at 12:59 PM Last week’s 22.1bp sell off, in LBs, accelerated the move higher on the 50d MA. Right now, the 50D is moving higher at 1-1.2bp per day, while the 200d MA is still ...

Very Little to Watch Today

Monday, June 8th, 2015

Via Bloomberg: WHAT TO WATCH: * (All times New York) * Economic Data * * 10:00am: Labor Market Conditions Index Change, May (prior -1.9) * Central Banks * * 11:00am: U.S. to announce plans for auction of 4W bills * 11:30am: U.S. to sell $24b 3M bills, $24b 6M bills

FX

Monday, June 8th, 2015

Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman: Drivers for the Week Ahead - The most important driver of the dollar remains the de-synchronization of the monetary policy cycles - The Fed is unlikely to be swayed by the IMF's logic of waiting until next year to hike rates - The dramatic sell-off in European ...

Greek Newspaper Story

Monday, June 8th, 2015

Via a fully paid up subscriber: this Kathimerini story going around... http://www.ekathimerini.com/4dcgi/_w_articles_wsite2_1_08/06/2015_550788 The Greek government is redrafting the 47-page proposal it sent to lenders last week with the aim of securing an agreement that would allow the disbursal of 7.2 billion euros in bailout funding. Kathimerini understands that Athens is focussing its ...

Secondary market Corporate Bond Trading on Friday

Monday, June 8th, 2015

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: Volume Falls, Spreads Lower; KOHNPW to Price 2015-06-08 09:50:07.430 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- Secondary IG trading ended with a Trace count of $11.9b Friday vs $15.7b Thursday; $17b the previous Friday was the largest Friday volume going back to 2005. * 10-DMA $14.6b * 144a trading added $1.4b of IG volume Friday ...

Monday Morning FX Musings

Monday, June 8th, 2015

Via Kit Juckes at SocGen: <http://www.sgresearch.com/r/?id=hdea1b25,12e9497d,12e9497e&p1=136122&p2=bc88cd8a81d04ef5d796527f7702fd82> Monday's are all about reacting, of course, and we are reacting to a variety of evnts this morning (Turkish elections, concerns about MERS in S Korea, as well as concerns about Asian slowdown and a cheap yen) as well as Friday's jobs data. But once the ...

Rate Hikes Deferred

Monday, June 8th, 2015

HSBC (which at one time also employed me to hawk bonds) has moved its call for Fed rate hikes to December from September. They have also lowered their estimate of US GDP for this year and they have slowed their forecast for the pace of subsequent hikes. Via a fully paid ...

Oil Prices Move Lower

Monday, June 8th, 2015

Nick Butler blogs for the FT ( an honorable vocation indeed) and he writes that OPEC's failure to cap oil production leaves the market unbalanced with an excess of supply over demand. The immutable laws of economics will come into play and he argues that prices will once again drift ...