Archive for June, 2015
Tuesday, June 9th, 2015
Via BankAmerica merrill Lynch:
Screening for steep curves. Another spike in bund yields, combined with another round of good US economic data, and both 10-year Treasury and bund yields spiked to their highest closes since late September last year - 2.44% and 0.95%, respectively, increases of 6bps and 7bps on the ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Eclectic Topics
Tuesday, June 9th, 2015
Earlier today I posted this about the debacle in emerging market debt. Now Bloomberg has posted this article on the flight from junk bonds.
Via Bloomberg:
Suddenly, junk bonds have lost their luster.
After providing a haven from the global bond-market selloff, speculative-grade securities have now joined the rout, tumbling almost 1 percent ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Junk Bonds Slide
Tuesday, June 9th, 2015
Excerpt from note published by David Ader/Ian Lyngen at CRT Capital:
Treasuries were under pressure throughout most of Tuesday's session with the bulk of the influence from the selloff that continues in EGBs - Bunds specifically sold off +7 bp, as did the French 10-year and UK 10s were 5.3 bp ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on End of Day Note
Tuesday, June 9th, 2015
Via Robert Sinche at TDSecurities:
AUSTRALIA: The June Consumer Confidence report will follow a general rebound from the lows reached at end 2014, a modestly encouraging sign for 2H growth.
CHINA: May data on monetary conditions and the important Aggregate Financing Activity expected over the next few days. The BBerg consensus expects ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Overnight Preview
Tuesday, June 9th, 2015
You will note that in every tranche of this $9billion deal the guidance is materially tighter than the initial price talk (IPT for aficionados).
Via Bloomberg:
Reynolds American Guidance Issued for Offer of Up to 7 Parts
2015-06-09 16:06:06.705 GMT
By Allan Lopez
(Bloomberg) -- Guidance;IPT (all area):
* 3y fxd guid +130; +165
* 3y FRN ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Reynolds Guidance
Tuesday, June 9th, 2015
Via Bloomberg:
IG CREDIT: List of New Issues Expected to Price in U.S. Today
2015-06-09 14:01:00.11 GMT
By Allan Lopez
(Bloomberg) -- 8 new issues expected to price today:
* Reynolds American $benchmark Baa2/BBB-
*
* 3Y fxd and/or FRN, 5Y, 7Y, 10Y, 20Y, 30Y
* IPT 3Y fxd +165, 3Y FRN 3mL equiv, 5Y +185, 7Y +205, ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Today’s New Issue Calendar
Tuesday, June 9th, 2015
Via Ian Lyngen at CRT Capital:
We are optimistic about this afternoon's $24 bn 3-year auction and see the risk of a stop-through in light of the recent performance of new 3s, relatively good performance of the sector, and the highest yielding 3-year auction since April 2011. On the other hand, ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Three Year Note Auction Factoids
Tuesday, June 9th, 2015
Later today the Treasury will sell $24 billion new three year notes. One trader notes that the issue is expensive on the yield curve when viewed against 2s and 5s. That is a very directional trade as the 3s outperform their yield curve cousins in a sell off. The 5 ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Three Year Note Background
Tuesday, June 9th, 2015
Via FT:
June 9, 2015 10:08 am
Emerging market bond sell-off gathers pace
Elaine Moore
Speculation about economic revival in developed nations has led to the largest monthly sell off in emerging market debt since the “taper tantrum”, raising concerns that the world is entering a new phase of market turbulence.
India and Thailand suffered ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Emerging Markets Bond Rout
Tuesday, June 9th, 2015
Via Stephen Stanley at Amherst Pierpont Securities:
The NFIB index of small business optimism rose by just over a point to 98.3 in May, the best reading since December and roughly in line with the 42-year average for the series. Within that modest move in the aggregate, however, there were some ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on NFIB Index