Archive for June, 2015

Monday Morning Musings on FX

Monday, June 22nd, 2015

Va Kit Juckes at SocGen: <http://www.sgresearch.com/r/?id=he03e01d,1311eb85,1311eb86&p1=136122&p2=ef3e89039f6cbe191772387e9182e953> Good Morning. FX Daily attached. The two main meetings of the day as the Greek debt crisis reaches a tipping-point, are the 10 a.m (BST) meeting between the main ‘players' in this drama - Tsipras, Lagarde, Draghi, Juncker and Dijsselbloem - and the 11:30 a.m meeting ...

Borrowing from Peter to Pay Paul

Sunday, June 21st, 2015

Professor James Hamilton who is one of the co authors of the excellent Econbrowser blog writes an interesting (to me) piece on the dire situation in which Greece finds itself, He makes the point that At this juncture Greece is borrowing from Peter to pay Paul and that circular transaction ...

Another Set of Greek Headlines

Sunday, June 21st, 2015

Via Bloomberg: BN 06/21 16:43 *TSIPRAS TO MEET ECB'S DRAGHI, LAGARDE ON MONDAY: GREEK GOVT +------------------------------------------------------------------------------+ Tsipras to Meet ECB’s Draghi, IMF’s Lagarde, Monday: Greek Govt 2015-06-21 16:49:07.495 GMT By Nikos Chrysoloras (Bloomberg) -- Greek PM Alexis Tsipras will hold meeting on Monday in Brussels with head of IMF Christine Lagarde, president of the ECB, Mario Draghi, president ...

Second Order Effects of Grexit

Sunday, June 21st, 2015

This article argues that a Greek default and exit would severely damage Eastern European currencies. Via the FT: June 21, 2015 12:12 pm Spectre of Grexit sparks fears for central and eastern Europe Jonathan Wheatley in London   As Greece teeters on the brink of a eurozone exit, jittery investors have been trying to second-guess the ...

Greece Says It Offers ” Definitive Solution”

Sunday, June 21st, 2015

Via Bloomberg: Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras has made an offer to European Union leaders he described as a “definitive” solution ahead of Monday’s emergency summit. Tsipras briefed German Chancellor Angela Merkel, French President Francois Hollande, EU Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker on the new proposal in phone calls, according to an e-mailed ...

Greece Update

Sunday, June 21st, 2015

Via the FT: Yanis Varoufakis says Greece prepared to compromise at EU summit Henry Foy in Athens and Claire Jones in Frankfurt The cabinet was summoned to a meeting at prime minister Alexis Tsipras’ Maximos Mansion residence on Sunday morning for a last-ditch meeting to hash out the government’s strategy for Monday’s crunch ...

Credit Strategy

Saturday, June 20th, 2015

Via Merrill Lynch; Binary week. In the near term the outlook for credit depends on developments in the Greece situation, as news flows drive long term bund yields, that in turn drive long term Treasury yields - that in turn push credit around. As usual, for high grade bond spreads good ...

Greece Story

Saturday, June 20th, 2015

Via NPR: A Greek minister is hinting that Athens will bring a new plan to the table at an emergency European Union summit next week to keep the country from defaulting on its sovereign debt and exiting the Eurozone. "We will try to supplement our proposal so that we get closer to ...

Weekend Data Preview

Friday, June 19th, 2015

Via Robert Sinche t Amherst Pierpont Securities: No news expected on the Greece negotiations as the EU Summit Meeting will be late in the European day (7pm Brussels). NEW ZEALAND: One of my favorite measures is Net Migration, which seems to be topping out but still at a record pace, supporting domestic ...

Greece Summary

Friday, June 19th, 2015

Robert Sinche at Amherst Pierpont provides a nice summary of the ever changing Greek situation: Going into the weekend, the following appears to be the state of play in Greece: -          EU Finance Ministers meeting on Thursday produced no results, but that was the expected outcome. -          Greece PM Tsipras has been playing ...