Archive for May, 2015

Banks to Take Hits on Energy Patch Loans

Monday, May 4th, 2015

Via WSJ: By Jeffrey Sparshott May 4, 2015 2:27 p.m. ET Banks in the U.S. are bracing for defaults on loans to the oil and gas sector amid low oil prices this year, according to a Federal Reserve survey. “Banks expected delinquency and charge-off rates on such loans to deteriorate over 2015, but ...

Overnight Data Preview

Monday, May 4th, 2015

Via Robert Sinche at Amherst Pierpont Securities: AUSTRALIA: The BBerg consensus (86%) expects the RBA to initiate another 25bp rate cut to a new record low (2.0%) at its meeting tomorrow. The March Trade Balance is expected at -$A1.0bn, which would be the 11th consecutive monthly deficit as exports to China ...

On the Bund and the Euro: A Technical Perspective

Monday, May 4th, 2015

This is from Robert Sinche at Amherst Pierpont Securities. I apologize to him and you for deleting the chart he attached as it does not reproduce well on this low rent blog.  However,the prose is excellent and explanatory. Via Robert Sinche of Amherst Pierpont Securities: We have noted over recent days the ...

what to watch today

Monday, May 4th, 2015

Via Bloomberg: WHAT TO WATCH: * (All times New York) * Economic Data * 9:45am: ISM New York, April (prior 50) * 10:00am: Factory Orders, March, est. 2.1% (prior 0.2%) * Factory Orders Ex-Trans, March (prior 0.8%) * Factory Orders Ex-Trans, March (prior 0.8%)</li></ul> * Factory Orders Ex-Trans, March (prior 0.8%)</li></ul></li></ul> * Central Banks * 9:00am: Fed’s Tarullo speaks in ...

Greece Timeline

Monday, May 4th, 2015

Via Bloomberg: TIMELINE: What’s Next in the Greek Crisis Saga 2015-05-04 11:14:38.21 GMT By Nikos Chrysoloras (Bloomberg) -- Greece hopes to reach a technical agreement on reforms this month in a bid to persuade its creditors to ease the flow of liquidity to the country. A European Central Bank Governing Council meeting this week and a gathering ...

Secondary Market Corporate Bond Trading on Friday

Monday, May 4th, 2015

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: Volume Lower; ABBV M&A Deal Possible This Week 2015-05-04 10:47:18.139 GMTBy Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- Secondary IG trading ended with a Trace count of $10.6b Friday vs $17.7b Thursday, $12.1b the previous Friday. * 10-DMA $14.7b * 144a trading added $1.2b of IG volume vs $2.6b Thursday, $2.3b last Friday * Most active issues: * MS ...

Breakevens

Monday, May 4th, 2015

This is a long research piece from HSBC on inflation Breakevens around the globe. Here is link.

FX

Monday, May 4th, 2015

Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman: Drivers for the Week Ahead - The beginning of a new month starts the usual cycle of economic data; the US employment report is significant - The UK election on May 7 is imponderable and overshadows high frequency readings of the economy - The euro's depreciation along ...

IMF Set to Say Yuan at Fair Value

Monday, May 4th, 2015

Via the WSJ: By Ian Talley Updated May 3, 2015 8:46 p.m. ET The International Monetary Fund is close to declaring China’s yuan fairly valued for the first time in more than a decade, a milestone in the country’s efforts to open its economy that would blunt U.S. criticism of Beijing’s currency policy. The ...

Europe PMI

Monday, May 4th, 2015

Via the FT: EconomyFrance, Greece drag down eurozone manufacturing 2 hours ago Factories in the eurozone have had a disappointing start to the second quarter despite hopes that the European Central Bank's €60bn a month quantitative easing programme would have provided an additional shot in the arm to economies in the common currency ...