Archive for April, 2015

Risks in Treasury Market

Monday, April 27th, 2015

Via Gennadiy Goldberg at TDSecurities: Where the Risks Lie Treasury investors are sitting on their hands as the market looks to gauge the tone of the economic recovery from this week’s barrage of key data. Wednesday’s FOMC meeting also poses a risk for the market, but with no press conference or Summary ...

Weak Two Year Auction

Monday, April 27th, 2015

via CRT Capital Today at 1:11 PM ** 2-yr auction stops at 54 bp,  0.1 bp tail -- indirects take 38.1% vs 41.8% six-month average. -- directs take 14.6% vs 14.6% six-month average. -- dealer take 47.3 vs 43.7% six-month average. -- bid-to-cover comes in at 3.30 vs. 3.45 six month average and 3.55 in Q1. -- ...

Bearish Signal

Monday, April 27th, 2015

Today the 50 day moving average yield on the Long Bond crossed above the 100 day moving average. The 50 day average dropped below the 100 day average in February 2014. Thanks to Steve Liddy a former colleague for the heads up on that one.

Overnight Preview

Monday, April 27th, 2015

Via Robert Sinche at Amherst Pierpont Securities: AUSTRALIA: ANZ Weekly Consumer Comfort Index, only of interest because of a recent break to lowest level in 9 months. JAPAN: Retail Sales for March are likely to show a HUGE drop (BBerg consensus -7.5% YOY…and probably worse) in sales compared to March 2014 that ...

Corporate Issuance

Monday, April 27th, 2015

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: List of New Issues Expected to Price in U.S. Today 2015-04-23 14:02:38.179 GMT By Allan Lopez (Bloomberg) -- The following is a list of new issues expected to price today: * AT&T $benchmark Baa1/BBB+ * Long 5Y fxd and/or FRN, Long 7Y, 10Y, 20Y, 31Y * IPT long 5Y +140, long 7Y +155, 10Y ...

George Bush (the son) Wades back into Political Arena

Monday, April 27th, 2015

Former President George Bush (the son) has rarely waded into the political arena since he departed that office in January 2001. Bloomberg reports that at a recent gathering of GOP donors hhe broke that relative silence and attacked the incumbent President for his policies in the Mideast. Via Bloomberg: APR 26, 2015 ...

Discussing Plan B for Greece

Monday, April 27th, 2015

The WSJ is carrying an article on nascent discussions among high ranking officials in Europe on  the "what ifs " if Greece does default on its pile of debt. Via the WSJ: By GABRIELE STEINHAUSER in Riga, Latvia, and NEKTARIA STAMOULI in Athens April 26, 2015 5:40 p.m. ET 4 COMMENTS Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras spoke ...

Fitch Downgrades Japan

Monday, April 27th, 2015

Via the WSJ: By ELEANOR WARNOCK Updated April 27, 2015 6:05 a.m. ET 0 COMMENTS TOKYO—Fitch Ratings downgraded Japan’s credit rating Monday, highlighting the challenges that Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s administration faces in trying to stoke growth while dealing with the nation’s towering public debt. Fitch downgraded Japan’s long-term foreign and local credit issuer rating by ...

FX

Monday, April 27th, 2015

Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman: Drivers for the Week Ahead - Investors will be looking through the FOMC statement and the US Q1 GDP report for clues that a June hike may be off the table - American households are set to step up their consumption and downside pressure on ...

What to Watch Today

Monday, April 27th, 2015

Cutting and Pasting Today From Thomas Jefferson's Backyard and Via the Good Folks at Bloomberg: WHAT TO WATCH: * (All times New York) * Economic Data * 9:45am: Markit US Composite PMI, April preliminary (prior 59.2) * Markit U.S. Services PMI, April preliminary, est. 58.8 (prior 59.2) * Markit U.S. Services PMI, April preliminary, est. 58.8 (prior 59.2)</li></ul> * 10:30am: ...