Archive for March, 2015

What to Watch Today

Monday, March 9th, 2015

Via Bloomberg: WHAT TO WATCH: * (All times New York; may be subject to delays) Economic Data * 10:00am: Fed Labor Market Conditions Index Change, Feb. (prior 4.9) Central Banks * 1:05pm: Fed’s Kocherlakota speaks in Minneapolis * 2:25pm: Fed’s Mester speaks in Washington * 7:30pm: Fed’s Fisher speaks in Houston Supply * 11:00am: U.S. to announce plans for auction of ...

FX

Monday, March 9th, 2015

Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman: Drivers for the Week Ahead - Developments last week underscored that the divergence theme continues to dominate market trends - Although the dollar may look stretched from a short-term technical point of view, the bull market is still in place as a larger trend - The ECB ...

Secondary market Corporate Bond Trading Friday

Monday, March 9th, 2015

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: Spreads at New Lows for 2015; Pipeline Grows 2015-03-09 09:58:13.497 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- Secondary IG trading ended with a Trace count of $15b Friday vs $15.6b Thursday, $16.4b the previous Friday. 10-DMA $16b. * Secondary IG trading 10th highest of any Friday since Jan. 2005 * 144a trading added $1.9b of IG ...

Trade balance

Friday, March 6th, 2015

Via Stephen Stanley at Amherst Pierpont: The trade deficit narrowed sharply in January, though not quite as dramatically as I had expected.  The deficit eased from $45.6 billion in December to $41.8 billion in January.  The bulk of the improvement came from the slide in oil prices, as the petroleum balance ...

Be Wary of the Equity market

Friday, March 6th, 2015

Eric Green at TDSecurities has published an excellent piece on the confluence of margin compression, rich equity valuations and the strong dollar. Via Eric Green at TDSecurities: Attached is a chart outlining a crude but interesting Equity model the Fed introduced in the Greenspan years. It shows the relative value in equities ...

Labor Report

Friday, March 6th, 2015

Via TDSecurities: The February jobs report was a good one though unlike the January print this iteration does have a few warts and if last month was a 10, this one is closer to an 8. The key takeaway here is that job growth is not just strong; it has been ...

New Corporate Issuance Yesterday

Friday, March 6th, 2015

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: More Than $60b Has Priced This Week, Most in 2015 2015-03-06 12:43:28.220 GMT By Lisa Loray (Bloomberg) -- $9.25b priced from 8 issuers, bringing weekly volume to $62.8b, $51.8b sans SAS, both YTD highs. * YTD volume $329.925b and $278.075b * Yesterday’s deals: * Domestic Corps * $2.5b Abbott Laboratories (ABT) A2/A+ 3-part * $750m 2.00% ...

What to Watch for Today

Friday, March 6th, 2015

Via the good folks at Bloomberg: WHAT TO WATCH: * (All times New York; may be subject to delays) Economic Data * 8:30am: Change in Nonfarm Payrolls, Feb., est. 235k (prior 257k) * Change in Private Payrolls, Feb., est. 225k (prior 267k) * Change in Mfg Payrolls, Feb., est. 10k (prior 22k) * Unemployment Rate, Feb., est. 5.6% ...

The Relevance of Abraham Lincoln

Friday, March 6th, 2015

This is a wonderful article from the UK Guardian by Martin Kettle. He focuses on Lincoln's ability to employ the English language and suggests that at this moment in UK history that country needs an Abraham Lincoln. This is certainly non market related but the article is excellent and Lincoln was ...

FX

Friday, March 6th, 2015

Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman: Dollar Firm Ahead of Jobs Report - There are two main forces at work as the week winds down:  the ECB’s confirmation of its asset purchase and the US jobs report - The ECB's new forecasts seem optimistic - One thing that could stall the euro's ...