Archive for February, 2015

JPMorgan Duration Survey

Tuesday, February 3rd, 2015

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: Longs and Shorts Fall in Latest JPM Survey 2015-02-03 12:11:36.523 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- The JPMorgan Treasury Client Survey for the week ended Feb. 2 vs week ended Jan. 26. * Longs 15 vs 22 * Neutrals 63 vs 54 * Shorts 22 vs 24 * Net longs -7 vs -2 * "The all ...

What to Watch for Today

Tuesday, February 3rd, 2015

Via Bloomberg: WHAT TO WATCH: * (All times New York) Economic Data * 9:45am: ISM New York, Jan. (prior 70.8) * 10:00am: Factory Orders, Dec., est. -2.4% (prior -0.7%) * 10:00am: IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism, Feb., est. 51.5 (prior 51.5) * Wards Domestic Vehicle Sales, Jan., est. 13.5m (prior 13.46m) * Wards Total Vehicle Sales, Jan., est. 16.6m (prior 16.80m) * Wards Total ...

FX

Tuesday, February 3rd, 2015

Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman: RBA Joins Parade and Market Likes Greek Proposals - The Reserve Bank of Australia joined the chorus of central banks to ease policy - The continued recovery in oil prices may be helping the Canadian dollar resist the Antipodean push - The other major story today is ...

Corporate Bond Trading Yesterday

Tuesday, February 3rd, 2015

Via Bloomberg; IG CREDIT: Highest 4-WMA Volume in History of Trace Data 2015-02-03 11:17:08.768 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- Trace count for secondary trading closed at $13.2b vs $16.3b Friday, $13.1b last Monday; 10-DMA $16.2b. * 4-wk moving avg was $15.6b yday, highest since at least Jan. 2005 * 144a trading added $2b of IG volume yday ...

Baltic Dry Index

Tuesday, February 3rd, 2015

The Baltic Dry Index is a measure of the cost of moving raw commodities around the globe by ship. That index plunged yesterday and sits on the cusp of establishing a 29 year low.

Overnight Flows

Tuesday, February 3rd, 2015

At this juncture dealers report active flow in overnight Treasury trading. I have heard of bank portfolio buying in the 5 year sector as well as end user buying of 5 year spread product in that same sector. Real money in Japan has bought 7s and 10s. Several news articles have ...

Diminished Liquidity in Treasury Market

Tuesday, February 3rd, 2015

This is an excellent article via Bloomberg on the diminished levels of liquidity in the Treasury market. Thanks to a long time reader for the heads up on this one. Via Bloomberg: The Treasury Market's Legendary Liquidity Has Been Drying Up (Bloomberg) -- Trading Treasuries keeps getting tougher and tougher. For decades, the $12.5 trillion ...

FX

Monday, February 2nd, 2015

Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman:   Today at 6:38 AM Drivers for the Week Ahead - A combination of factors has frayed the consensus about the trajectory of Fed policy and the strength of the US economy - Anemic wage growth appears to be a global phenomenon - We continue to ...

What to Watch for Today

Monday, February 2nd, 2015

Via Bloomberg: WHAT TO WATCH: * (All times New York) Economic Data * 8:30am: Personal Income, Dec., est. 0.2% (prior 0.4%) * Personal Spending, Dec., est. -0.2% (prior 0.6%) * PCE Deflator m/m, Dec., est. -0.3% (prior -0.2%) * PCE Deflator y/y, Dec., est. 0.8% (prior 1.2%) * PCE Core m/m, Dec., est. 0.0% (prior 0.0%) * PCE Core ...

Coeure Comments

Monday, February 2nd, 2015

Benoit Coeure is a member of the ECBs Executive Board. He spoke overnight and commented on the planned QE. He said it would not end in haste and was open ended to the extent that the ECB would do more if necessary. Via the WSJ: ECB Coeure: QE Program is Open Ended Todd ...