Archive for January, 2015

Big Day for Issuance

Wednesday, January 7th, 2015

Via Bloomberg: +------------------------------------------------------------------------------+ IG CREDIT: $18.6b to Price; Weekly Volume to $31.6b 2015-01-07 19:25:10.947 GMT By Lisa Loray (Bloomberg) -- $18.6b is expected to price from 14 issuers today; weekly volume to $31.6b. * 33.3% of today’s issuance corporate, 26.3% financial, 32.3% SAS and 8.1% EM * 61% of today’s volume has maturities of 5Y or shorter * 5 FRNs ...

More on FOMC Minutes

Wednesday, January 7th, 2015

Via Stephen Stanley at Amherst Pierpont Securities: Most of the key elements in the December FOMC minutes were covered in Chair Yellen’s press conference, underscoring how important those sessions have become in adding color to the FOMC statement on FOMC days. Economic Situation: I was struck by the degree of agreement with regard ...

FOMC Minutes

Wednesday, January 7th, 2015

Via Chris Low at FTN Financial: The underlying message in the December Fed minutes is one of optimism about growth and an underscored commitment to raise rates this year, though probably not before April. The key line is this one [emphasis added]: “Participants generally stressed the need to communicate that the timing of ...

MBS

Wednesday, January 7th, 2015

Mortgages are a + to 2+ wider. Higher coupons are outperforming. 4.5s and higher coupons are actually tighter. Origination volume light as is end user flow.Dealers expect to see decent selling today by originators.

Lots of Corporate Issuance

Wednesday, January 7th, 2015

Some of today's deals: GM Finance 5s and 10s Arizona Public Service  5 year Toyota Credit 3 year Trans Canada Pipeline 3 year EIB 5 year ( $4billion) Kommualbanken 5 year Santander 3 year IADB 10 year ($ 2billion) Some of these deals will have FRNs too which I chose not to list.

Trade Balance

Wednesday, January 7th, 2015

Via TDSecurities: The November trade deficit narrowed more than the market anticipated, falling to -$39.0B from a downwardly revised -$42.2B in the prior month. Our official 2.5% forecast for Q4 GDP factored in a roughly -0.50ppt drag to growth from net exports, with the narrowing deficit suggesting that the hit to ...

Corporate Bond Spreads

Wednesday, January 7th, 2015

Corporate Bond spreads are opening tighter this mornng. 1/6 CLOSE      1/7 OPEN      CHANGE C  24      136/133        134/131          -2 WFC 24      109/107        108/105          -1 BAC 24      136/133        134/131  ...

What to Watch Today

Wednesday, January 7th, 2015

Via Bloomberg: WHAT TO WATCH: * (All times New York) Economic Data * 7:00am: MBA Mortgage Applications, Jan. 2 * 8:15am: ADP Employment Change, Dec., est. 225k (prior 208k) * 8:30am: Trade Balance, Nov., est. -$42b (prior -$43.4b) Central Banks * 2:00pm: Fed to release minutes from Dec. 16-17 FOMC meeting * 6:30pm: Fed’s Evans speaks in Chicago

China Property Bonds

Wednesday, January 7th, 2015

This topic is very much off the market's radar currently but I think that at some point this year it will reemerge as a topic of interest. Via Bloomberg: There's a Leadership Crisis in Chinese Property Firms -- They're Defaulting. Who's Next to Go? By David Yong and Christopher Langner Jan 6, 2015 ...

FX

Wednesday, January 7th, 2015

Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman: Dollar Gains As Eurozone Slips Into Deflation - Oil prices continue to slide, but equities are now going the other way - Later in the session the FOMC minutes from the December meeting will be reported - In contrast to the FOMC, the ECB remains firmly fixated ...