Archive for December, 2014

Ruble Rubble

Monday, December 15th, 2014

Via a fully paid up subscriber: *RUSSIA RAISES KEY RATE TO 17%: CENTRAL BANK WEBSITE STATEMENT *RUSSIAN RATE INCREASE TO 17% EFFECTIVE DEC. 16 *BANK OF RUSSIA TO RAISE LIMIT ON 28-DAY FX REPO AUCTION TO $5B *RUSSIAN CENTRAL TO HOLD 1-YR FX REPO AUCTIONS WEEKLY *BANK OF RUSSIA SAYS SEEKS TO STEM DEVALUATION, INFLATION ...

Overnight Preview

Monday, December 15th, 2014

Via Robert Sinche at Amherst Pierpont Securities: SWEDEN: Riksbank Rate decision, but with the policy rate at 0.00% not much to do. CHINA: First look at the Manufacturing Sector for December with the preliminary HSBC/Markit PMI. Index was 50.0 in November, and the BBerg consensus expects 49.8, which would be the first ...

What to Watch Today

Monday, December 15th, 2014

Via Bloomberg: WHAT TO WATCH: * (All times New York) Economic Data * 8:30am: Empire Manufacturing, Dec., est. 12 (prior 10.16) * 9:15am: Industrial Production m/m, Nov., est. 0.7% (prior -0.1%) * Capacity Utilization, Nov., est. 79.3% (prior 78.9%) * Manufacturing (SIC) Production, Nov., est. 0.6% (prior 0.2%) * Manufacturing (SIC) Production, Nov., est. 0.6% (prior 0.2%)</li></ul> * 10:00am: NAHB Housing Market ...

FX

Monday, December 15th, 2014

Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman: Drivers for the Week Ahead - The key event this week is the Federal Reserve’s last meeting of the year - In terms of forward guidance, there are three phrases that are important - The Japanese election was largely a foregone conclusion - Greece's parliament will have three ...

Potential January Issuers

Monday, December 15th, 2014

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT PIPELINE: GE Cap, JPM Among Historical January Issuers 2014-12-15 10:19:54.838 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- The following deals may be added to the IG calendar in the coming days, weeks, months: * JPM a likely January issuer, based on historical record * GE Cap may open 2015 IG issuance * Bank of India ...

Secondary market Corporate Bond Trading on Friday

Monday, December 15th, 2014

Via the good folks at Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: Volume Falls, Spreads at New Wides for 2014 2014-12-15 10:46:53.396 GMT By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) -- The final Trace count for secondary trading fell to $10.1b vs $15.3b Thursday and $16b the previous Friday. * 144a trading added another $1.5b of IG volume * AAPL 2.40% 2023 topped the ...

December 15 2015 Opening

Monday, December 15th, 2014

Prices of Treasury coupon securities have tumbled in overseas trading reversing the some of the gains attained in risk off environment which prevailed on Friday. The belly of the curve has borne the burden of the sell off today (as it has for most of the last nine months). The ...

Krugman Bucks the Consensus

Sunday, December 14th, 2014

New York Times columnist, Nobel Prize winner and Princeton Professor, Paul Krugman has challenged the consensus view that the Federal Reserve will hike rates in 2015.He thinks the lack of inflation and weak global economy will keep the central bank in the monetary weeds in the new year. Via Bloomberg: Krugman Fighting ...

From the Oh Canada Department

Sunday, December 14th, 2014

Marketwatch carries a story on the dangers which cheap oil pose to the heavily dependent on oil Canadian economy: By Mark DeCambre Published: Dec 12, 2014 8:18 a.m. ET NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — While the U.S. financial system — as well as many international banks — has gotten hopped up on a wide ...

Bond Bloodbath?

Sunday, December 14th, 2014

Via the FT: Warnings of a potential bloodbath in bonds David OakleyAuthor alerts There is a big disconnect between the US Federal Reserve and the international bond markets. It is a disconnect that could lead to one of the biggest sell-offs in bonds for a long time. Some fund managers even say 2015 ...