Archive for November, 2014

TIPS

Friday, November 21st, 2014

TIPS are " en fuego" today as central banks continue to debase their currencies. The dovish Draghi speech and the rate cuts in China have awakened sleeping commodities and slumbering TIPS buyers. The auction yesterday went quite well with strong indirects and a diminished award to dealers. There has been follow ...

Excellent Analysis

Friday, November 21st, 2014

Via Richard Gilhooly at TDSecurities: The rate cut from China and another revamped speech from Draghi, with increased urgency to get inflation higher rapidly, have Break-evens significantly higher today, supported by a jump in commodity prices. The latter has bolstered commodity currencies, in addition to another strong core CPI print in ...

Corporates

Friday, November 21st, 2014

The risk on rally is coursing its way through the corporate bond market,too. The IG 23 is 1 3/4 tighter at 64  64 1/2. Long dated financial paper is 2 basis points to 4 basis points tighter. Here is a  run for your edification: C  24      129/126      ...

Guest Post

Friday, November 21st, 2014

My friend and former colleague Steve Liddy whose musings I have chosen to intermittently reproduce here notes minutes ago that the 5 year forward inflation rate which the FOMC follows is at a cycle low. I hope the Bloomberg chart is readable and as always that is the fault of ...

MBS

Friday, November 21st, 2014

Mortgages are opening pretty much in line with Treasuries. One dealer reports solid buying overnight on the back of real money buying and Federal Reserve buying yesterday. The Draghi speech and the rate cut by China have fostered a risk on mentality today and that should benefit MBS in the days ...

Dealer Positions

Friday, November 21st, 2014

Via the good folks at Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: IG Dealer Positions in Short Issues at Series High 2014-11-21 11:24:07.747 GMT By Robert Elson Nov. 21 (Bloomberg) -- Dealer positions in corporate bonds rose $800m to $33b as of Nov 12. $45.9b, seen March 5, was the high for the series Fed began April 2013; $23b low ...

Secondary market Corporate Bond Trading

Friday, November 21st, 2014

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: Highest Volume Thursday of 2014; MDT May Be Next Week 2014-11-21 10:46:15.610 GMT By Robert Elson Nov. 21 (Bloomberg) -- The final Trace count for secondary trading was unchanged at $18.4b, the highest Thursday session of the year; the previous Thursday session was $15.5b. * 10-DMA $15.6b, ties the January high for 2014; ...

FX

Friday, November 21st, 2014

Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman: - Official comments from Japanese and European officials have injected volatility into the foreign exchange market - Also, SNB officials have reiterated their commitment to the defending the CHF1.20 level - China surprised many today’s by announced a rate cut - Protests are heating up the political ...

November 21 2014 Opening

Friday, November 21st, 2014

Prices of Treasury coupon securities have registered modest losses in an overnight session marked by a dovish Draghi speech and then a surprise rate cut by the Peoples Bank of China. The losses in Treasuries have occurred since the announcement by China that it would lower rates. Equities have skyrocketed ...

China Lowers Rates

Friday, November 21st, 2014

Via the FT: EconomyChina cuts interest rates 9 minutes ago In response to both a slowing domestic and global economy, the People's Bank of China, the country's central bank, has cut benchmark interest rates in the world's second-largest economy. It has cut the one-year deposit rate by 25 basis points to 2.75 per cent ...