Archive for November, 2014

FX

Monday, November 24th, 2014

Via Marc Chandler of Brown Brothers Harriman: Drivers for the Week Ahead - The highlight for this holiday-shortened week will be the EU and the OPEC meetings - In terms of economic data, today’s German IFO surprised on the upside, helping the euro regain the $1.24 level against the dollar - New record low ...

November 24 2014 Opening

Monday, November 24th, 2014

Prices of Treasury coupon securities have sagged in a quiet overnight session. There was a holiday in Japan so there was no trading in that venue. In Europe the German IFO printed stronger than last month and beat expectations and the dampened sentiment. I suppose the advocates of an early ...

Sexondary market IG Trading on Friday

Monday, November 24th, 2014

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: Highest Friday Volume of Year; KOEWPW, MDT, DIS 2014-11-24 10:55:47.607 GMT By Robert Elson Nov. 24 (Bloomberg) -- The final Trace count for secondary trading was $15.3b, the highest volume Friday of 2014, vs $18.4b, the highest Thursday session of the year and $14.5b the previous Friday. * 10-DMA $15.4b; 10-DMA of only Friday ...

IFO Rises in November

Monday, November 24th, 2014

Via FT: German business confidence rose slightly in November, the first time in seven months, raising hopes that Europe's largest economy could recover its poise after teetering on the edge of recession. The closely watched Ifo institute's survey of 7,000 companies on the business climate in Germany rose to 104.7 in November, ...

Thoughts on ECB

Monday, November 24th, 2014

Via a fully paid up subscriber across the pond: GS: Base-case is now for Sov. QE in 1H15 (previously assigned a 1-in-3 chance), most likely at the Mar 5th meeting with a move at the Dec 4th meeting likely too soon for Draghi to gain consensus, and Jan 22nd also likely ...

A Less Hawkish Dallas Fed President

Sunday, November 23rd, 2014

Via the FT: November 23, 2014 5:53 pm Dallas Fed chief’s inflation concerns ease Robin Harding in DallasAuthor alerts One of the US Federal Reserve’s longest-serving and most prominent hawks on monetary policy is sounding less hawkish as he nears retirement in March. Richard Fisher of the Dallas Fed has not gone soft, exactly – ...

A Surfeit of Oil

Sunday, November 23rd, 2014

Via the FT: US oil imports from Opec at 30-year low Anjli Raval, Oil and Gas Correspondent US imports of crude oil from Opec nations is at its lowest level in almost 30 years, underlining the impact of the shale revolution on global trade flows. The lower dependence on imports from the cartel, which ...

Hilsenrath on Saturday Morning

Saturday, November 22nd, 2014

Via Jon Hilsenrath at the WSJ: Economy Central Banks Move to Boost Global Growth Steps by China, ECB Lift Stocks, but Risk Lurks ENLARGE The People’s Bank of China headquarters in Beijing. Bloomberg News By Jon Hilsenrath in Washington, Brian Blackstone in Frankfurt and Lingling Wei in Beijing Nov. 21, 2014 7:45 p.m. ET Two ...

Swap Spreads

Friday, November 21st, 2014

Swap spreads are interesting today as there is some idiosyncratic movement. Two year spreads have tightened 3/4 basis point and 3 year spreads are tighter by 1 1/2 basis points. Those sectors have traded off of movements in the Eurodollar pit and those movements have pushed spreads tighter. In the ...

Corporate Pricings Today

Friday, November 21st, 2014

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: List of New Issues Expected to Price in U.S. Today 2014-11-21 15:25:57.806 GMT By Greg Chang Nov. 21 (Bloomberg) -- The following is a list of new issues expected to price today: * Caterpillar Financial Services Corp. $750m A2/A * $500m 5Y & $250m 10Y (will not grow) * IPT 5Y +75, 10Y +105 ...