Archive for November, 2014

Interesting Point

Wednesday, November 12th, 2014

David Ader at CRT Capital in his client note this morning pointed out that the Treasury refunding this week requires just $6 billion in new cash. He did not breakdown the numbers but the usual calculation of that number takes the maturing issues and adds to that the interest payment and ...

What to Watch for Today

Wednesday, November 12th, 2014

Via Bloomberg: WHAT TO WATCH: * (All times New York) Economic Data * 7:00am: MBA Mortgage Applications, Nov. 7 (est. -2.6%) * 10:00am: Wholesale Inventories, Sept., est. 0.2% (prior 0.7%) **Wholesale Sales, Sept., est. -0.1% (prior -0.7%) Central Banks * 12:00pm: Fed’s Kocherlakota speaks in Eau Claire, Wis. Supply * 11:30am: U.S. to sell $25b 52W bills, TBA 4W bills * ...

FX

Wednesday, November 12th, 2014

Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman: Dollar Mixed As Consolidative Tone Continues - The consolidative tone that has been a general feature of the foreign exchange market continues today - Official denials of snap elections and a consumption tax hike delay in Japan saw the Nikkei fall and the yen rise - ...

Secondary Market Corporate Bond Trading

Wednesday, November 12th, 2014

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: EMN, FCX Most Active Names; Korean Names Possible 2014-11-12 10:41:23.890 GMT By Robert Elson Nov. 12 (Bloomberg) -- The final Trace count for secondary trading was $11.4b Monday vs $13.4b Friday and $9.8b the previous Monday. 10-DMA at $12.6b; 10-DMA of only Monday sessions $12.1b. * 144a trading added another $1.2b of IG volume * ...

November 12 2014 Opening

Wednesday, November 12th, 2014

Prices of Treasury coupon securities have surged in overseas trading. One of the hallmarks of the operation here is that I do not make this stuff up (which must be comforting to you if you read this) and I am having a difficult time rationalizing the price action overnight. I ...

Bank of England Cuts Growth and Inflation Forecast

Wednesday, November 12th, 2014

Via Bloomberg: BOE Cuts U.K. Forecasts as Risks From Euro Area Crystallize By Jennifer Ryan Nov 12, 2014 5:30 AM ET The Bank of England cut its forecasts for growth and said inflation could fall below 1 percent within months as a renewed slump in the euro area weighs on the U.K. economy. In ...

Sales Tax Hike in Japan

Wednesday, November 12th, 2014

Japan is rife with rumors and stories regarding the sales tax hike scheduled for next October. One story line is that the Abe government will call for elections next month to gain a mandate to postpone the tax hike. That has the yen under pressure and the Nikkei on a ...

Plosser Calls for Rate Hikes

Wednesday, November 12th, 2014

Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Plosser called on the FOMC to raise rates sooner rather than later and suggested that in so doing the Committeee could adopt a gradualist approach rather than an approach in which it would raise rates rapidly (if it had waited too long to act). Via ...

FX

Tuesday, November 11th, 2014

Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman: Spotlight on the Weak Yen - The US dollar has come back bid today, but the real story is the drop in the Japanese yen - The main driver appears to be the Japanese investors themselves; separately, speculation of an early election is on the ...

Wage Stagnation and Politics

Tuesday, November 11th, 2014

The NYTimes has posted an interesting article on the political implications of stagnant wages. The author, David Leonhard, argues that the lack of wage growth threatens the Democrats recent Presidential hegemony and suggests a typical Democrat solution. He proposes a middle class tax cut paid for by hiking the rates ...