Archive for November, 2014

What to Watch For Today

Monday, November 17th, 2014

Via the good folks at Bloomberg: HAT TO WATCH: * (All times New York) Economic Data * 8:30am: Empire Manufacturing, Nov., est. 12.00 (prior 6.17) * 9:15am: Industrial Production, Oct., est. 0.2% (prior 1%) * Capacity Utilization, Oct., est. 79.3% (prior 79.3%) * Manufacturing (SIC) Production, Oct., est. 0.3% (prior 0.5%) * Manufacturing (SIC) Production, Oct., est. 0.3% (prior 0.5%)</li></ul> Central ...

Weidmann On ECB QE: Nein

Monday, November 17th, 2014

Via Business Insider: German Bundesbank President Goes Against Europe's Plans To Stimulate Its Floundering Economy Bundesbank boss Jens Weidmann, the man most closely associated with Germany's opposition to easier monetary policy, is slamming the brakes on expectations that the European Central Bank will finally go for quantitative easing (QE). He was speaking to ...

Credit Issues in China

Monday, November 17th, 2014

Via Bloomberg: China Bad Loans Jump Most Since 2005 as Economy Cools By Bloomberg News Nov 16, 2014 9:42 PM ET China’s bad loans jumped by the most since 2005 in the third quarter, fueling concern that a cooling economy will be further weakened as banks limit lending to avoid credit risks. Nonperforming loans ...

FX

Monday, November 17th, 2014

Via Marc Chandler at brown Brothers Harriman: Market Drivers in the Week Ahead -        The investment climate rests on three legs:  the de-synchronized business cycle, the decline in commodity prices and a slowing of China   -        With a shockingly weak Q3 GDP, Japan’s PM Abe is ...

UK Prime Minister’s Jeremiad

Monday, November 17th, 2014

UK Prime Minister David Cameron has warned today that "the red warning lights are flashing on the dashboard of the global economy". He wrote a post G 20 piece for the UKs Guardian newspaper and issued a very cautionary assessment of the UK economy and the global economy. Via the Guardian:     Patrick ...

Corporate Bond Trading Friday

Monday, November 17th, 2014

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: Spreads at 2014 Wides; WSTP, AXSBIN to Price 2014-11-17 10:54:46.719 GMT By Robert Elson Nov. 17 (Bloomberg) -- The final Trace count for secondary trading was $14.5b vs $15.5b Thursday and $13.4b the previous Friday. 10-DMA at $14.3b; 10-DMA of only Friday sessions $12.8b, its high for 2014. * 144a trading added another $1.6b ...

November 17 2014 Opening

Monday, November 17th, 2014

Prices of Treasury coupon securities have registered modest gains in overseas trading. The catalyst for the gains was the unexpected decline in GDP in Japan which is the second consecutive quarter of shrinking GDP for that country which some pundits deem a recession. The economy has weakened significantly since imposition ...

Forecast Change

Monday, November 17th, 2014

Via a fully paid up subscriber: UK VIEW: Barclays have amended their forecast for first rate hike in the UK to Q3 2015 from Q1 2015. In Barclays Global Economics Weekly, released late Friday, the bank says that due to the dovish inflation report and press conference it decided to push ...

Japan Sinks into Recession

Sunday, November 16th, 2014

Via the WSJ: Japan Falls Into Recession Gross Domestic Product Falls 1.6%, Setting Stage for Delay in Sales Tax Increase By Eleanor Warnock And Mitsuru Obe TOKYO—A sales tax increase pushed Japan’s economy into a recession in the third quarter, setting the stage for Prime Minister Shinzo Abe to postpone a second increase in the ...

145 to the $

Sunday, November 16th, 2014

Albert Edwards at SocGen thinks dollar yen is on its way to 145. Here is his reasoning on the topic.