Archive for October, 2014

What to Watch for Today

Friday, October 10th, 2014

Via Bloomberg: WHAT TO WATCH: * (All times New York) Economic Data * 8:30am: Import Price Index, Sept., est. -0.7% (prior -0.9%) * Import Price Index y/y, Sept., est. -1.4% (prior -0.4%) * TBA: Monthly Budget Statement, Sept., est. $82b (prior $75.1b) Central Banks * 9:00am: Fed’s Plosser speaks in New York * 1:00pm: Fed’s George speaks in McCook, Neb. * ...

Excellent Bloomberg Article on Inflation

Friday, October 10th, 2014

This is an excellent synopsis  at Bloomberg which catalogs the low level of inflation and the FOMC's concerns as inflation runs below target for a considerable period (to coin a phrase). Via Bloomberg: By Craig Torres Oct 10, 2014 12:00 AM ET Federal Reserve officials are hunting for new tactics to raise price ...

FX

Friday, October 10th, 2014

Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers: Dollar Firms, Focus on Equity and Oil Meltdown - For the first time in months, the dollar has lost ground against all the major currencies this week - Yesterday was the lowest close in the S&P 500 since August 7, when the last swoon ended; the main ...

Personal Note

Friday, October 10th, 2014

It was on this date one year ago when I resurrected this blog from the dustbins of the blogosphere. I have enjoyed writing it and hope you have enjoyed reading it. I thank all those who have offered assistance especially old friends and new who provide me with the information that ...

October 10 2014 Opening

Friday, October 10th, 2014

Prices of Treasury coupon securities are posting very small losses when measured against levels which prevailed at 900PM lat evening. Volumes in the Treasury market and in the futures market were very heavy and clients were actively engaged. Global equity markets continued the swoon which devoured US equities yesterday. In ...

Economists Expect Growth Pickup in 2015

Thursday, October 9th, 2014

Via the WSJ: Economy Conditions Ripe for Stronger Growth, WSJ Survey Says Economists Cite Falling Energy Costs as a Positive By Kathleen Madigan Updated Oct. 9, 2014 3:16 p.m. ET Faster job growth and stronger consumer confidence are already putting the U.S. expansion on a steady trajectory heading into 2015. Now, falling energy prices are offering another ...

Merrill Lynch on Stock Market Decline and other Topics

Thursday, October 9th, 2014

Via Merrill Lynch Research Foreign vs. domestic. With European economic data falling off a cliff - for example today's 5.8% contraction in German exports for August (vs. a consensus contraction of 4.0%) - and ECB President Draghi acknowledging that the European economy is losing momentum, not surprisingly today's 2% sell-off in ...

Imperial Presidency

Thursday, October 9th, 2014

In one of the opening scenes of Shakespeare's Julius Caesar, Caesar is thrice offered a crown to designate him as Emperor and three times he refuses the offer. Fast forward 21 centuries to the modern era and repeat the same episode with Barack Obama instead of Julius Caesar and I ...

Treasury Market update

Thursday, October 9th, 2014

One of the hallmarks of my operation is that while I may kid around once in awhile I do not lie as in making up stuff. So as I made the rounds of the folks in the dealer community with whom I regularly converse I am not hearing of much ...

Corporate Issuance Recap

Thursday, October 9th, 2014

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: At Least $5.85b to Price; Week to Top $20b 2014-10-09 18:51:08.617 GMT By Lisa Loray Oct. 9 (Bloomberg) -- At least $5.85b is expected to price today, the second highest daily issuance this week behind Monday’s $8.6b.  Weekly volume to top $20b, Oct. to more than $30b and YTD $1.124t. * After being quiet ...