Archive for October, 2014

Eclectic Topics Via Merrill Lynch

Saturday, October 18th, 2014

Via M Think small Small caps outperformance means the market is starting to discount the global weakness story as impacting the US economy. For now we retain our tactical long credit risk stance on the IG market, which we have held since Tuesday night. We are still cautious about credit spreads in the longer ...

FNMA and Freddie Mac To Ease Lending Standards

Friday, October 17th, 2014

Via WSJ: Mortgage Giants Set to Loosen Lending Fannie, Freddie NearDeal to Lift Limits; Concerns Persist By Joe Light Updated Oct. 17, 2014 6:56 p.m. ET 189 COMMENTS Fannie Mae , Freddie Mac and mortgage lenders are nearing an agreement that could lower barriers and restrictions on borrowers with weak ...

TIPS

Friday, October 17th, 2014

TIPS have staged a significant recovery from their worst breakeven levels of the week. At its lowest point the 5 year TIPS traded to 141. They are currently around 153. At their worst levels 10 year TIPS traded down to 183. They currently trade at 193. The 30 year TIPS ...

Treasury Market Musings

Friday, October 17th, 2014

The Treasury market is taking a pummeling today as the volatility continues. The risk on environment is taking a toll on safe haven assetsĀ  as the equity market soars today and bonds lose their allure. Traders report selling across the curve with particularly large blocks trading in off the run paper ...

Possible Easing of Monetary Policy in China?

Friday, October 17th, 2014

Via Robert Sinche at Amherst Pierpont Securities:   Next Tuesday (local time in Beijing, Monday PM in US) will bring a major update of Chinese economic data, with Retail Sales, Industrial Production and Fixed Asset Investment for September along with GDP for 3Q2014. While IP growth may rebound a touch, the Bloomberg ...

Corporate Bond Spreads

Friday, October 17th, 2014

It is a day of financial nirvana for those in the rentier class with holdings in the corporate bond sector. Long dated bank and finance paper is better by 1 basis point to 5 basis points. The JPM 5 year deal which priced Wednesday at + 100 and which I ...

Swap Spreads

Friday, October 17th, 2014

Swap spreads are narrower across the board today. Two year spreads are tighter by 1/2 basis point and 5 year spreads have narrowed 1 basis point. The 10 year spread has tightened 1 1/4 basis points and 30 year spreads are in by 3/4s. Spreads have been very directional as ...

Corporate Bond Issuance Today

Friday, October 17th, 2014

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: List of New Issues Expected to Price in U.S. Today 2014-10-17 13:38:54.315 GMT By Greg Chang Oct. 17 (Bloomberg) -- The following is a list of new issues expected to price today. * Bank of America Corp. $benchmark Baa3/BBB+ * 12Y Sub Debt * IPT +225 area * Books: BofAML * Books: BofAML</li></ul> * PepsiCo Inc. $500m ...

What to Watch for Today

Friday, October 17th, 2014

Via Bloomberg: WHAT TO WATCH: * (All times New York) Economic Data * 8:30am: Housing Starts, Sept., est. 1.008m (prior 956k) **Housing Starts, m/m, est. 5.4% (prior -14.4%) * Building Permits, Sept., est. 1.030m (prior 998K, revised 1.003m) * Building Permits, m/m, est. 2.7% (prior -5.6%, revised -5.1%) * Building Permits, m/m, est. 2.7% (prior -5.6%, revised -5.1%)</li></ul> * 9:55am: UofMich Confidence, ...

Dealer Positions

Friday, October 17th, 2014

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: Record High in Dealer Positions of Short IG Issues 2014-10-17 10:47:16.605 GMT By Robert Elson Oct. 17 (Bloomberg) -- Dealer positions in corporate bonds rose $3.3b to $38.1b as of Oct 8. $45.9b, seen March 5, was the high for the series Fed began April 2013; $23b low was Aug 28, 2013. * Investment ...