Archive for September, 2014

Polls on Scottish Vote

Monday, September 8th, 2014

A fully paid up subscriber situated in the UK has forward this brief note on upcoming poll releases on the Scottish independence vote. Via a fully paid up subscriber: UK/Scotland Referendum: Number of desks asking about any future polls for the vote, as it stands we see the following (list is not exhaustive): September 9th: ...

Stratfor on Options Available to US in Confronting ISIS

Monday, September 8th, 2014

I subscribe to Stratfor a private intelligence service and a firm specializing in geopolitical analysis. This piece is a bit dated (Aug23 ) but I think the analysis of potential US options in the war with radical Islamic group ISIS is still quite relevant particulary with President Obama addressing the ...

Recap of Last Week’s Issuance Tsunami

Monday, September 8th, 2014

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: Weekly Issuance Tops $58b and Sets YTD Record 2014-09-08 11:35:27.609 GMT By Lisa Loray Sept. 8 (Bloomberg) -- 37 issuers priced $58.1b in 62 tranches over three sessions in the week ending Sept. 5, the highest weekly volume YTD. * YTD volume $985.28b * Financials (68.2%) outpaced corporates (15.5%) * 10Y (33.1%) was the most ...

Strange Item of the Day

Monday, September 8th, 2014

This is for those in the hoi polloi who are not gastronomically discriminating.

CRT Capital on Supply This Week

Monday, September 8th, 2014

Via CRT Capital: Returning to more germane supply considerations for the Treasury market; starting tomorrow we’ll see $27 bn 3-years, $21 bn 10-years, and $13 bn 30-years – all unchanged from the prior month.  The gross total of $61 bn will be only partially offset by $32 bn of maturities, leaving ...

What to Watch Today (Not too Much)

Monday, September 8th, 2014

Via Bloomberg: WHAT TO WATCH: * (All times New York) Economic Data * 3:00pm: Consumer Credit, July, est. $17.4b (prior $17.255b) Central Banks * 7:50pm: Bank of Japan releases Aug. 7-8 meeting minutes Supply * 11:00am: Fed to purchase $950m-$1.15b in 2036-2044 sector * 11:00am: U.S. to announce plans for auction of 4W bills * 11:30am: U.S. to sell $26b ...

FX

Monday, September 8th, 2014

Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman: - Draghi has once again demonstrated a boldness that surprised the market - It is not clear how much the ECB's balance sheet will expand - The latest YouGov poll on the Scottish referendum shows the "yes" camp has gained some momentum in recent weeks - The ...

Secondary Market Corporate Bond Trading

Monday, September 8th, 2014

Last week saw the heaviest weekly issuance for the year as pent up supply hit the market. Some 59 billion priced last week and a Bloomberg sponsored survey suggests 25 to 30 billion this week. Here is the story on secondary market trading via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: Highest Volume Friday Since May; ...

September 08 2014 Opening

Monday, September 8th, 2014

Prices of Treasury coupon securities have registered solid gains in overnight trading with the belly of the Treasury curve the best performer. I think the catalyst for the move is the newly delivered uncertainty regarding the Scottish independence vote as a weekend poll for the first time revealed majority support ...

Arcane Piece of Economic Data

Sunday, September 7th, 2014

The WSJ has posted an article on a little followed piece of the economic which has ascended in to prominence when it motivated sharp downward revisions to Q1 GDP. This week on Thursday the Commerce Department will release the Quarterly Services Survey which chronicles consumer spending at law offices and ...