Archive for September, 2014

Three Year Note Auction

Tuesday, September 9th, 2014

The Treasury will sell $27 billion 3 year notes at 100PM New York time which I will continue to regard forever as the only time. Anyway. the issue recently traded at nearly 1.06 percent and that makes it the highest yielding three year note since April 2011. One market maker ...

Treasury Market Update

Tuesday, September 9th, 2014

I engaged in a conversation this morning with a market maker who is privy to some large client flows. He said that in the overnight session Asian central banks were better sellers but during European time and into New York time European central banks are much better buyers. US clients ...

Long Corporate Bond List

Tuesday, September 9th, 2014

Via Bloomberg: Nederlandse Waterschaps Bank 1.25 Aaa/AA+ bln  3 yr launched ms +2                    baml,c,td The Dow Chemcial Company B'Mark Baa2/BBB  3 part  10, 20 & 30, yr 3 mo par call prior on 10 yr 6 mo                  20 ...

What the hell took them so long?

Tuesday, September 9th, 2014

The latest ABC/ Washington Post poll shows that by a 52 42 percent margin Americans now view President Obama's Presidency as a failure rather than a success.

JPM Duration Survey

Tuesday, September 9th, 2014

All Clients Long         Neutral        Short Sept 08               11              53                 36 Sept 02               11               49                40 Aug   25               13                53              34 Active Clients Sept 08                 8              46                46 Sept 02                 8               31                 61 Aug 25                  8               46                46 September 8, 2014   In the all clients survey, the percent of longs were unchanged, the percent of neutrals increased by 4, ...

Moving Average

Tuesday, September 9th, 2014

The good folks at Bloomberg also noted that the yield on the 10 year note is above its 50 day moving average for the first time since July 31. Via Bloomberg: * 10Y and 30Y yields closed at highest levels since early/mid August, while 2Y-5Y yields retraced a portion of the declines spurred by ...

What to Watch

Tuesday, September 9th, 2014

Via the good folks at Bloomberg: WHAT TO WATCH: * (All times New York) Economic Data * 7:30am: NFIB Small Business Optimism, Aug., est. 96.0 (prior 95.7) * 10:00am: JOLTs Job Openings, July, est. 4.7m (prior 4.671m) Central Banks * 10:00am: Fed’s Tarullo testifies to Senate Banking Committee * 9:30pm: Bank of Japan’s Iwata speaks in Kanazawa City Supply * 11:30am: ...

FX

Tuesday, September 9th, 2014

Via Mark Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman: Dollar Positive Consolidation - There are both foreign and domestic drivers of the dollar's strength - Yesterday's San Francisco Fed paper indicated that investors are under-estimating how quickly policy makers could raise key borrowing costs relative to Fed officials - The euro's decline has accelerated following the ...

Carney headline

Tuesday, September 9th, 2014

*CARNEY SAYS BOE RATE RISE BY SPRING 2015 CONSISTENT WITH GOAL 2014-09-09 10:45:00.1 GMT

September 09 2014 Opening

Tuesday, September 9th, 2014

Prices of Treasury coupon securities have sagged in overnight trading with the 10 year note testing the 2.50 level. Other bond markets have also flagged as the 10 year Bund has traded back to 1 percent and the Spanish 10 year which has been 'en fuego" has retreated,too. Separately, the ...