Archive for September, 2014

FOMC Survey

Thursday, September 11th, 2014

CRT Capital's David Ader and Ian Lyngen surveyed clients regarding the outcome of the upcoming FOMC meeting. Here are the results. Via David Ader and Ian Lyngen at CRT Capital: Today at 11:40 AM ** We've just conducted a seat-of-the-pants survey asking for odds on a change to the 'considerable' period language at ...

CRT Capital on the Bond Auction

Thursday, September 11th, 2014

Via Ian Lyngen at CRT Capital: We are constructive on this afternoon’s long-bond auction and see the most meaningful risk as a strong foreign bid that prompts a stop-through.  Yesterday’s high indirect award in 10s was consistent with overseas buying as yields have back-up.  We’ve heard reports of foreign dip-buying during ...

Large Seller Off the Run Bonds

Thursday, September 11th, 2014

One fully paid up subscriber reporting a large domestic based seller of off the run bonds. He didnt say this but maybe they are making room for a 100PM bid.

Equities Wobble

Thursday, September 11th, 2014

Equity futures are wobbly this morning. That is not my area of expertise but a fully paid up subscriber offered some thoughts. He noted that the last dip in the market was bought and now there is no real follow through as every time S and P pokes above 2000 ...

Hilsenrath Opines on “Considerable Time” Phrase

Thursday, September 11th, 2014

Via Jon Hilsenrath and WSJ: HILSENRATH’S TAKE: CAN THE FED DROP “CONSIDERABLE TIME” WITHOUT SPOOKING MARKETS?  The watchwords in U.S. central banking this week are “considerable time.” As the Wall Street Journal reported Friday, a growing number of Federal Reserve officials want to move further away from the forward guidance on interest rates that ...

Corporate Bonds

Thursday, September 11th, 2014

Long dated bank and finance paper opening the day unchanged in quiet trading. The IG 22 is 1/2 basis point wider at 58 3/4  59 1/4.

Recap of Investment Grade Credit Yesterday

Thursday, September 11th, 2014

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: Weekly Volume Tops $30b for 12th Week YTD 2014-09-11 11:33:06.551 GMT By Lisa Loray Sept. 11 (Bloomberg) -- $11.675b priced from seven issuers yesterday, bringing weekly volume to $31.625b, monthly volume $89.725b and YTD $1.0169t. * The majority of Wednesday’s volume (79%) was from non- domestic issuers * One FRN priced $250m; YTD FRN volume ...

Early Corporate Bond List

Thursday, September 11th, 2014

Via the good folks at Bloomberg: #$2b Kingdom of Sweden (SWED) Aaa/AAA CS/GS/JPM 144a/Reg-S 2Y MS -12 FINAL TERMS $b Banco BTG Pactual (BTGPBZ) Ba3/na/B+ BBSecs/BAML/Brad/BTG/C/Santan 144a/Reg-S Perp/NC5 Additional Tier I Junior Sub 8.75% area GUIDANCE $b ICICI Bank / Dubai (ICICI) Baa2/BBB- BAML/C/DB/HSBC 144a/Reg-S 5.5Y IPT +200area $b CREDIT AGRICOLE SA (ACAFP) na/na/BB+ CrAg/C/CS/MS ...

What to Watch Today

Thursday, September 11th, 2014

Via Bloomberg: WHAT TO WATCH: * (All times New York) Economic Data * 8:30am: Initial Jobless Claims, Sept. 6, est. 300k (prior 302k) * Continuing Claims, Aug. 30, est. 2.49m (prior 2.464m) * 8:45am: Bloomberg U.S. Economic Survey, Sept. * 9:45am: Bloomberg Consumer Comfort, Sept. 7 (prior 37.7) * 2:00pm: Monthly Budget Statement, Aug., est. -$130b (prior - $147.914b) Central Banks * ...

30 Year Technicals

Thursday, September 11th, 2014

Via David Ader CRT Capital * 30s – The long-bond has returned to the middle of the recent range, backing up after reaching the lowest yield since May ‘13. Momentum has extended in favor of higher yields as the long-bond underperforms on the curve.  For initial support we’re watching the 40-day ...