Archive for September, 2014

Holiday Hiring Surge

Tuesday, September 16th, 2014

UPS plans to hire 40,000 more seasonal workers for the October through January holiday rush this year. The company said that some of those workers may retain jobs as permanent employees. This is one little piece of the macroeconomic puzzle which points to an improving economy.  

TIPS

Tuesday, September 16th, 2014

TIPS (Treasury Inflation Protected Securities for the uninitiated) have taken a beating on spread over the last several months. Breakeven spreads have narrowed and those long protection have watched TIPS lag nominals. The 5 year breakeven has moved to 180 from 210 back in early July. In that same time ...

Corporate Bonds

Tuesday, September 16th, 2014

A fully paid up subscriber forwarded a run of long financial paper ant that stuff is mixed with some one tighter (GS 24s) and some wider JPM 24s. The IG 22 is conforming with the risk off environment and is 3/4 wider at 62 62 1/2. Corporate supply is lighter and ...

Corporate List Thus Far

Tuesday, September 16th, 2014

Via Bloomberg: * African Development Bank 1 bln(ng) Aaa/AAA ** 7Y Global ** Spread set ms+5 ** Books: BNP,C,GS,NOM *Municipality Finance 1 bln(ng) Aaa/AAA ** 3Y ** Spread set ms -2 ** Books: C,DB,JPM,MIZ * Turk Eximbank 500mm (ng) BAA3/BB+ ** 7Y  144A Reg S ** IPT MS +287-5-300 ** Books: BARC,C,JPM,MIZ,MUS * Nordea Bank AB B'Mark NA/BBB+/BBB ** Perp nc 5 yr  144A ...

Dewey Wins

Tuesday, September 16th, 2014

This story reminds me of the famous Chicago Daily News headline from 1948 which declared "Dewey Wins". For the uninitiated in the 1948 Presidential election between Thomas Dewey and incumbent President Harry Truman there was near unanimity regarding the certainty of Dewey's election and Truman's defeat. The Chicago Daily News ...

Global Review

Tuesday, September 16th, 2014

This is an excellent research piece via SocGen which carries that firm's views on a variety of monetary policy and geopolitical questions. It is long but a worthwhile read. Via SocGen: Sunday Snapshot - The End of Easy Carry (M. Marcussen) (4p) The core theme in our new Global Economic Outlook (GEO) {http://bit.ly/1q9sXTi} is ...

JPM Duration Survey

Tuesday, September 16th, 2014

All Clients Long      Neutral       Short Sept 15                     13          45                 42 Sept o8                       11           53                36 Sept 02                        11          49               40 Active Clients Sept 15                         8            23                69 Sept 08                         8             46              46 Sept 02                         8             31                61 In the all clients survey, the percent of longs increased by 2, the percent of neutrals decreased by 8, and the percent ...

What to Watch Today

Tuesday, September 16th, 2014

Via Bloomberg: WHAT TO WATCH: * (All times New York) Economic Data * 8:30am: PPI Final Demand m/m, Aug., est. 0.0% (prior 0.1%) * PPI Ex Food and Energy m/m, Aug., est. 0.1% (prior 0.2%) * PPI Final Demand y/y, Aug., est. 1.8% (prior 1.7%) * PPI Ex Food and Energy y/y, Aug., est. 1.8% (prior 1.6%) * ...

Secondary Market IG Trading Yesterday

Tuesday, September 16th, 2014

Via Bloomberg: IG CREDIT: Volume Rises, Spreads Leak Wider; 5 Names to Price 2014-09-16 10:13:28.18 GMT By Robert Elson Sept. 16 (Bloomberg) -- The final Trace count for secondary trading was $12.6b vs $10.7b Friday and $10.6b the previous Monday. 10-DMA $12.6b; 10-DMA of only Monday sessions $10b. * 144a trading added another $2b of IG volume * ...

FX

Tuesday, September 16th, 2014

Via mark Chandler at Brown Brothers: Dollar Mixed Ahead of Event Risks - Sterling is the weakest of the majors; minutes from the recent MPC meeting will be released tomorrow - UK inflation was in line with expectations, but housing prices continue to push higher - Similarly to the UK, the Reserve Bank ...