Archive for September, 2014
Tuesday, September 23rd, 2014
*POWELL DOESN’T COMMENT ON OUTLOOK FOR ECONOMY, FED POLICY
*GEORGE TEXT MAKES NO REFERENCE TO U.S. ECONOMY, MONETARY POLICY
*BULLARD DOESN’T COMMENT ON OUTLOOK FOR ECONOMY, FED POLICY
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Fed Speakers With No Insight Today
Tuesday, September 23rd, 2014
Hilsenrath opines properly that without the retiring Plosser and the forced retirement of Fisher early next year the DOT PLOT would be about 25 basis points lower.
Via Jon Hilsenrath at the WSJ:
HILSENRATH’S TAKE: WITHOUT TWO HAWKS, FED RATE CONSENSUS A QUARTER POINT LOWER
The Federal Reserve is about to lose two ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Interesting Hilsenrath
Tuesday, September 23rd, 2014
Via Bloomberg:
WHAT TO WATCH:
* (All times New York)
Economic Data
* 9:00am: FHFA House Price Index, July, est. 0.5% (prior 0.4%)
* 9:45am: Markit US Manufacturing PMI, Sept., est. 58 (prior
57.9)
* 10:00am: Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, Sept., est. 10
(prior 12)
Central Banks
* 9:00am: Fed’s Bullard speaks in St. Louis
* 9:20am: Fed’s Powell speaks in ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on What to Watch Today (Fed Speakers with Logorrhea)
Tuesday, September 23rd, 2014
All Clients Long Neutral Short
Sept 22 15 47 38
Sept 15 13 45 42
Sept 08 11 53 36
Active Clients
Sept 22 8 38 54
Sept15 8 23 69
Sept 08 8 46 46
In the all clients survey, the percent of longs increased by 2, the percent of neutrals increased by 2, and the percent ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on JPM Duration Survey
Tuesday, September 23rd, 2014
Via Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman:
Dollar Broadly Weaker In Consolidative Trade
- NY Fed's Dudley, like Yellen played down the Fed's own forecasts
- Many investors have moved on from simply focusing on the timing of the first Fed hike to considering the pace of the tightening and the terminal rate ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on FX
Tuesday, September 23rd, 2014
Via Bloomberg:
IG CREDIT: WFC, RIG Most Active; Issuance Remains the Focus
2014-09-23 09:56:01.435 GMT
By Robert Elson
Sept. 23 (Bloomberg) -- The final Trace count for secondary
trading was $10.6b vs $10.5b Friday and $12.6b the previous
Monday. 10-DMA $13b; 10-DMA of only Monday sessions $10.1b.
* 144a trading added another $1.8b of IG volume
* WFC ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Secondary Market IG Trading Yesterday
Tuesday, September 23rd, 2014
Prices of Treasury coupon securities have rallied in an abbreviated (Tokyo closed ) overnight trading session. It appears that markets are accentuating the negative as weak PMIs in Europe have trumped a better than expected HSBC PMI in China. The HSBC PMI for China registered 50.5 in September beating expectations ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on September 23 2014 Opening
Tuesday, September 23rd, 2014
This is a great article on the shrinking and declining fixed income business and the changes in trading patterns since the financial crisis as firms devote less capital to the sector.
This is a worthwhile read.
Via Bloomberg:
Shrinking Bond Desks Taken by Journeymen as Masters Fade
By Nabila Ahmed Sep 22, 2014 8:33 ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Incredible Shrinking Bond Business
Monday, September 22nd, 2014
The FT has a very fascinating story about Joshua Wong who is a 17 year old college freshman in Hong Kong. Mr Wong has one very large set of testicular appendages as he is openly and actively challenging the Communist government's voting scheme in Hong Kong. According to the FT, ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Young Man with a Mission
Monday, September 22nd, 2014
Via Richard Gilhooly at TDSecurities:
Treasuries continued the rally from Friday, with intermediates taking over as the driver after a strong bond-led rally on Friday. 5yr notes had traded up to 1.88% yield overnight on Thursday, following the Scottish vote, but rallied to 1.81% on Friday and reached 1.77% today and ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on End of Day Analysis