Archive for July, 2014

Yesterday in Corporate Bonds

Wednesday, July 9th, 2014

Via Bloomberg; IG CREDIT: Client Flows Led Trading; 3 Yankees Set to Price 2014-07-09 10:06:15.451 GMT By Robert Elson July 9 (Bloomberg) -- The final Trace count for secondary trading was $13.5b vs $10.6b Monday and $12b the previous Tuesday. 10-DMA at $11.6b. * VZ 5.15% 2023 topped the most active list; client buying was 3:2 over selling, together accounting for 52% of volume * SMFG 0.90% 2016 was next; client flows at 100% * SMFG 1.35% 2015 was 3rd; client flows took 100% of volume * CAT 2.10% 2019 was 4th; client flows at 92% * IBM 1.625% 2020 was 5th; client flows 79% * Three Forest Lab (ACT) 2019-2021 issues topped the 144a most active list; two-way client flows dominated trading * BofAML IG Master Index unchanged at +107; +106, its low for 2014 and the tightest spread since July 2007 was seen June 24; year wide +132 * Standard & Poor’s Global Fixed Income Research IG unchanged at +141, 2014’s low post-crisis low; +164, the wide for 2014 was seen 4x in Feb * Markit CDX.IG.22 5Y Index closed at 57.7 vs 55.9; 55 was seen Thursday, a new 52-week low and the lowest level since Oct 2007, vs 57; 52-week high of 97.6 was seen June 24 * IG issuance totaled $8.5b Tuesday, including two under-the- radar issues from ANZ and MET totaling $625m * BofAML, Citi and Barc topped the IG manager’s list for the week so far * IG issuance YTD $821.6b * BNG, DBSSP, KLABIN to lead issuance today

July 09 2014 Opening

Wednesday, July 9th, 2014

Prices of Treasury coupon securities have registered modest declines in overnight trading. There is no screaming focal point and the decline in prices appears to me to be a function of the duration which the street will bid today and tomorrow with the Treasury sale of 10s and 30s. We ...

FX Reserves

Wednesday, July 9th, 2014

And then there is this story which describes the swollen state of FX reserves in Asia some of which will find a home in the Treasury market. It is another reason to temper one's bearishness. Via WSJ: WSJ: Currency Reserves Swell in Asia Central-Bank Policy Makers Fight Tide of Cheap Global Capital By Wayne ...

Credit Market Rumblings in Portugal

Wednesday, July 9th, 2014

A fully paid up subscriber forwarded this story on some credit issues in Portugal. I had heard this late yesterday from a PM and I must be suffering from creeping senescence as I paid no attention to the story. The reader who forwarded this story noted that yields on Portugal ...

Money from China Fuels Housing Market

Wednesday, July 9th, 2014

This is a fascinating article (to me) on money from China driving prices in the housing market in California.

Overnight Data Preview

Tuesday, July 8th, 2014

Via Pierpont Securities: On Wednesday July 9 the US and China begin the annual two-day Strategic & Economic Dialogue in Beijing (the first one in over a decade at which USD/CNY is stronger) and ECB President Draghi delivers a Memorial Lecture on monetary policy in London. AUSTRALIA: Westpac Consumer Confidence Index for ...

Tuesday, July 8th, 2014

According to this FT story hedge fund shorts in equities are at their lowest level since 2006. That is a good reason to take some money off the table. Via the FT: Short selling drops to lowest level since Lehman By Miles Johnson, Hedge Fund CorrespondentAuthor alerts Hedge funds have sharply scaled back their ...

Some Flow Stuff

Tuesday, July 8th, 2014

Via RBS Securities; Our Treasury flows were fast money buying of 10’s, central bank buying of 10’s, real money selling of 30’s, and real money selling of 7’s. In swaps we had macro paying the belly of 2’s-5’s-10’s and fast money accounts receiving 10yr rate and paying 1y1y. In TIPS, we ...

End of Day Treasury Comments

Tuesday, July 8th, 2014

Prices of Treasury coupon securities continue to rally and confound those who sold for a supply concession. The best explanation I heard today was from a trader who offered the opinion than real retail did not buy at month end in June but bought Thursday after the employment report back ...

Today’s Corporate Issuance

Tuesday, July 8th, 2014

Via Bloomberg: By Lisa Loray July 8 (Bloomberg) -- Five issuers are expected to price $7.9b today after six sold $4.7b in 8 tranches yesterday. * Two have been added to tomorrow’s calendar * Weekly volume to $12.6b, month $19.3b, YTD $820.9b * Domestic names quiet save for American Honda finance 2-part offering * Three FRNs priced $1.15b; ...