Archive for June, 2014

Yo

Friday, June 20th, 2014

Forbes has an interesting article on overvaluations and bubbles. It seems that someone invented an app the sole function of which is to announce the message "Yo" to the recipient of that message. The inventor has received $1 million in seed money for the app and over 4 million messages ...

Customer Flow

Friday, June 20th, 2014

I hit the publish button on the opening note and then I immediately receive an email on client flows. As I noted it was very quiet overnight. This dealer reports European real money selling modest sized clips of 5 year notes. This same dealer offered the opinion that long end ...

June 20 2014 Opening

Friday, June 20th, 2014

Prices of Treasury coupon securities have slipped in overseas trading in what participants have described as a very quiet trading session. The yield on the benchmark 5 year note has increased to 1.695 from 1.677 a (at 445PM yesterday). The yield on the 10 year note edged up to 2.638 ...

Aging Baby Boomer Alert

Thursday, June 19th, 2014

Gerry Goffin teamed with Carol King and wrote some of the best popular music of the pre Beatles era. They teamed to write classics such as Will You Still Love Me Tomorrow, Under the Boardwalk and Locomotion (recorded by their baby sitter). Goffin and King met in high school in ...

Gold Rally

Thursday, June 19th, 2014

Via TD Securities Gold jumped the most in some fifteen weeks on Thursday, as many players who expected a relatively more hawkish message from the US central bank found themselves on the wrong side of their short positioning following Wednesday's seemingly dovish Fed rate decision relative expectations by a broad segment ...

Reverse Repo

Thursday, June 19th, 2014

This is an interesting article from the FT which discusses the explosion of repo trading between money funds and the Federal Reserve bank of New York. When the Federal Reserve actually raises rates some day (in the distant future) this is the mechanism which they will employ to drain reserves ...

Swap Spreads

Thursday, June 19th, 2014

Swap spreads finished mixed today with 2 year through 5 year spreads 1/2 basis point wider. Ten year spreads were 1/4 basis point tighter and 30 year spreads narrowed a full basis point reflecting the carnage in the Treasury market. Hedge funds paid belly spreads and corporates were better receivers.

Mortgage Commentary

Thursday, June 19th, 2014

Mortgages tightened significantly as the Treasury market sold off today. If the sell off today was more than a Treasury market specific event I think that mortgages would have widened and not tightened or at best been flat. Via RBS Securities: Mortgages: Mortgages rocked again today with the 3.5's basis opening 2-2.5 ...

TIPS Result and other Miscellany

Thursday, June 19th, 2014

The TIPS auction tailed three basis points. However, it had great internals. I will append the CRT post auction note but dealers received less than usual and indirects and directs won a greater share. The 5s 30s spread is 178 which is nearly 7 basis points wider than it was twenty ...

Long Bond

Thursday, June 19th, 2014

Two brief points worth noting on the Long Bond which trades as if it has a social disease. It is closing in on 3.44 and that level has been a magnet for buyers. I think in the underwriting process for the most recent Bond we traded to 3.48 so if ...