Archive for April, 2014

Treasury Market Update

Friday, April 11th, 2014

Amongst the crowd with whom I converse flows in the Treasury market are on the light side. The focus of participants is on the equity market and price action this afternoon will move in sync with that market. I have heard once again of end user clients with a long ...

Treasury Considering Modifying Issuance

Friday, April 11th, 2014

Via Bloomberg: U.S. Treasury Asks Dealers Whether to Modify Auction Calendar 2014-04-11 16:01:33.636 GMT By Kasia Klimasinska April 11 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. Treasury Department asked bond dealers whether the re-openings of 10-year notes and 30- year bonds contribute to liquidity in those securities. The Treasury, in a statement today, asked if it should consider modifying the auction ...

Corporate Bonds

Friday, April 11th, 2014

As I wrote her yesterday corporate bonds felt heavy yesterday amidst the equity market crackup. Spreads opened sloppy and wider this morning and have remained at those wider levels throughout the day. One salesman noted that the round of stability which accompanied the stock market recovery ( I gathered this ...

Swap Spreads

Friday, April 11th, 2014

Swap spreads are mixed today. Two year spreads are flat while 5 year spreads are 1 basis point wider. Ten year spreads and thirty year spreads are about 1/2 basis points wider. I have not heard much in the way of end user flows and one portfolio manager opined that ...

Position Discernment

Friday, April 11th, 2014

This is an interesting (to me) article from the good folks at Bloomberg which attempts to discern what aggregate positions are amongst dealers and traders. Via Bloomberg: RATES: U.S. Rates Positioning Summary 2014-04-11 14:12:23.69 GMT By Elizabeth Stanton April 11 (Bloomberg) -- Asset manager net short in 10Y futures narrowed from biggest since Dec. 2007; JPMorgan ...

Overnight Flows

Friday, April 11th, 2014

Via CRT Capital: OVERNIGHT FLOWS: Treasuries were slightly better overnight as the decline in global equities followed-through overnight. Overnight volumes were light with cash trading at 93% of the 10-day moving-average, while TY came in at 86% of norms.   5s were the most active issue, taking a 37% marketshare while 10s ...

Turkey

Friday, April 11th, 2014

Turkey stirred the markets several weeks ago and the the central bank stabilized the currency with some harsh monetary measures. The currency rallied from about 2.4 to just under 2.10. Several hours ago Moody's changed the outlook for Turkey to negative from stable.

Mark Chandler on FX

Friday, April 11th, 2014

Via Mark Chandler at Brown Brothers: The US dollar is licking its wounds as the week winds down.  It has been a poor week for the greenback, falling against all the major currencies.     There are been two official impulses.   First ECB officials have made it clear while it ...

Credit Bubble

Friday, April 11th, 2014

I have used a reasonable amount of space at this blog chronicling extremely tight credit spreads and other examples of investors with a casual attitude toward risk. I guess following the price action yesterday in equities greed will slowly be morphing into fear so maybe some of that casual attitude ...

April 11 2014 Opening

Friday, April 11th, 2014

Prices of Treasury coupon securities have , on balance, registered small gains in overnight trading. The carnage in global equity markets which began with the collapse of biotech stocks and subsequent clubbing of the Nasdaq  yesterday continued overseas. The Nikkei dropped nearly 2.4 percent and other major Asian and Australian ...