Archive for March, 2014

Stratfor on the Ukraine Military

Sunday, March 2nd, 2014

Stratfor has a post on the unpreparedness of the Ukraine military.   Via Stratfor:   Analysis MARCH 2, 2014 | 1302  Print  Text Size Summary Kiev ordered a military mobilization and called up reservists nationwide March 2, a day after Russia's upper house of parliament approved Russian President Vladimir Putin's request to send troops into Ukraine. But the Ukrainian military finds ...

Sunday Afternoon Musings

Sunday, March 2nd, 2014

I know very little (if anything actually) about the mechanics of the FX market in Russian rubles. It seems that Russian banks post rates on Sunday and with the turmoil in the neighborhood the ruble has that sinking feeling. The ruble closed Friday just below 36 to the US dollar ...

SocGen Research on China PMI

Sunday, March 2nd, 2014

SocGen research note on China PMI: Eco Analysis - China's official PMI fell to an eight-month low (3p) China's official manufacturing PMI declined to an eight-month low in February, adding to further signs of economic slowdown. The official manufacturing PMI dropped from 50.5 in January to 50.2 in February, marginally above expectations (median ...

Washington Post on Obama and Putin

Saturday, March 1st, 2014

The Washington Post has a lengthy and interesting analysis which calls into question the thrust of American policy towards Russia most of the last five years. The article chronicles the quandary and poor choices which face American policy makers as they go eyeball to eyeball with Mr Putin. The article ...

Stratfor on Ukraine and Russia and Crimea

Saturday, March 1st, 2014

Via Stratfor: Analysis Moves by Russia on March 1 heightened security tensions in Ukraine's autonomous republic of Crimea, deepening concerns of an imminent Russian military takeover of the peninsula. The newest turn of events began when the Russian Foreign Ministry issued a statement alleging that a group of unidentified armed men from Kiev attempted ...

China PMI Slips

Saturday, March 1st, 2014

PMI in China slipped to 50.2 in February,down from 50.5 in January. Paid prognosticators and pontificating pundits who predict the number with varying degrees of precision had forecast 50.1.

Buffet on Upcoming Pension Fund Crisis

Saturday, March 1st, 2014

Via Reuters: Buffett says more bad news on pension funds during next decade By Luciana Lopez NEW YORK, March 1 Sat Mar 1, 2014 2:37pm EST   (Reuters) - Berkshire Hathaway chief executive Warren Buffett warned on Saturday that the growing crisis in public pensions will intensify, with "a lot" of bad news to come. In ...

Ukraine and Crimea Primer

Saturday, March 1st, 2014

Every morning I usually post an excerpt from the morning note of FX guru Mark Chandler of Brown Brothers Harriman. I just discovered that under his byline his colleague Dr Win Thin has posted an article at the Business Insider website on the history of Ukraine and Crimea. I know ...

Allocation Process

Saturday, March 1st, 2014

When a new corporate bond is issued and it is a hot issue with steamy interest from investors the process of allocating those bonds to the interested investors is a purely subjective enterprise. There is usually a group of lead managers and those leads will make the final decision on ...