Archive for March, 2014

Update

Monday, March 17th, 2014

The bond market remains quiet turf and prices continue to head south. The proximate cause of the price declines is the failure of the crisis in Ukraine to end ugly. There is no violence and there is no economic conflict which would threaten German banks or the security of gas ...

Monday Morning Market Miscellany

Monday, March 17th, 2014

Markets remain very quiet. Volumes are exceedingly light. I think that traders and investors want to observe the unfolding of the next leg of the Ukraine Crimea crisis. There is also the significant variable of the Federal Reserve meeting and the outcome of that conclave. I think the main focus ...

Swap Spreads

Monday, March 17th, 2014

All sectors of the market seem very quiet this morning. Swap spreads are a tad wider in the front end (maybe 1/4 basis point) and flat out the curve. One salesman reported virtually no flow in his shop. he did note some end users buying credit product in the 3 ...

Treasury Market Update

Monday, March 17th, 2014

The Treasury market had bounced off the lows attained overnight but has retreated again following the stronger than expected Industrial Production headline. Volumes are very light today. In conversations with participants the theme is that the crisis in Ukraine and Crimea will resolve diplomatically and that unless Russia actually invades ...

TD Securities on Empire Survey

Monday, March 17th, 2014

Via Gennadiy Goldberg of TDSecurities: The Empire manufacturing improved more modestly than the market expected in March, rising to 5.61 from 4.48. New orders rose to 3.13 from -0.21 in the previous month, but employment slipped quite substantially to 5.88 from 11.25 – the weakest reading in three months. Hours worked ...

New Issue

Monday, March 17th, 2014

Via Bloomberg; Exxon Mobil Corporation B'Mark Aaa/AAA  3/5 part 3 yr fxd and/or frn, 5 yr fxd and/or frn. 10 yr 1 mo par call prior on 5 yr 6 mo                on 10 yr    HSBC,jpm,ms(act) baml,barc,c(pass) PRICE TALK:  3YR FXD  MID +20s / L EQUIV 5YR FXD  MID +30s ...

Corporate Bonds

Monday, March 17th, 2014

The corporate bond market has witnessed outsized issuance for most of this year and buyers have responded by gobbling up that issuance. However, the first signs of resistance by buyers surfaced last week. For example Petrobras brought a multi tranche deal to market last week. There were three fixed rate ...

Gas Pains

Monday, March 17th, 2014

I loved this quote from John McCain yesterday on one of the Sunday talk shows: "Russia is a gas station masquerading as a country," McCain told Candy Crowley on CNN's "State of the Union." "It's kleptocracy, it's corruption, it's a nation that's really only dependent upon oil and gas for their ...

Overnight Flows

Monday, March 17th, 2014

I was under the weather over the weekend so I got a late start this morning. So this will be the truncated version of what I usually write. It was a quiet overnight session as one dealer reported that volumes were only 83 percent of the 10 day moving average. I ...

Mark Chandler on Wider Trading Band for Yuan

Monday, March 17th, 2014

Via Mark Chandler of Brown Brothers First, China announced a doubling of the permissible band from 1.0% to 2.0% around the daily fix.  There had been some speculation that Chinese officials were moving in this direction.  PBOC officials indicated that this was their intention sometime this year.  Although past moves to ...