Archive for March, 2014

Repo Markets

Thursday, March 20th, 2014

Repo or repurchase agreements is the least appreciated function at a dealer but it is probably the most important as it oversees the delivery of securities and the financing of long positions and short positions. When the money markets seize up as they did in September and October 2008 we ...

Ten Year Tips Tail

Thursday, March 20th, 2014

Via Ian Lyngen of CRT Capital *** The 10-year TIPS auction was soft with non-dealer bidding at 54.5% vs. 62.4% norm and a 1.1 bp tail. *** * 10-year TIPS auction stops at 0.659% vs. a 0.648% 1-pm bid WI. * Dealers were awarded 45.4% vs. 37.6% average of last six auctions. * Indirects ...

Treasury Market Update

Thursday, March 20th, 2014

Dealers report some active trading clients taking profits on 5s 10s flatteners. In addition, some fast money guys are anticipating some retracement of the outsized move in 5s and are buying 5s 30s. Real money is nibbling in the 3 year sector and prop traders are sellers of breakevens which ...

TIPS Auction Commentary

Thursday, March 20th, 2014

Via Richard Gilhooly of TDSecurities The January 0.625% 2024 10yr TIPs benchmark will be re-opened in $13bn, taking the total size to $28bn, to be re-opened one more time in May for an additional $13bn. The auction stopped at a real yield of 66.1bp in January and is around 63bp currently, ...

MBS

Thursday, March 20th, 2014

Mortgages are 3 ticks wider to Treasuries in light activity.

Mid Morning Musings

Thursday, March 20th, 2014

Swap spreads are opening wider this morning with most tenors 1/4 to 1/2 wider. One swaps trader made an interesting point in a conversation which I just concluded. He noted that swaps spreads finished the day yesterday virtually unchanged and vol while higher only jumped modestly. He thinks this means that ...

Trenchant Analysis

Thursday, March 20th, 2014

Richard Gilhooly is a friend and former colleague at TDSecurities whose work I occasionally feature here. Attached is the piece he sent to TD clients this morning and I think you will be hard pressed to find a better analysis  anywhere of the market moves yesterday. Via Richard Gilhooly at TDSecurities: The ...

Morning Miscellany

Thursday, March 20th, 2014

The Long Bond has shed some of its strength in early morning trading. For example I clocked 10s 30s at 86.8 and 600AM and that spread just prior to claims was 88.4. Similarly, 5s 30s moved from 193.7 to 194.4. I failed to note earlier that Jack Lew and his acolytes ...

Ukraine Headlines

Thursday, March 20th, 2014

Bond market edging higher in price and lower in yield (very modestly) and this might be the rationale for that mini move. BN 03/20 11:46 *UKRAINE AMBASSADOR SAYS STILL COMMITTED TO PEACEFUL SOLUTION BN 03/20 11:45 *UKRAINE SAYS PREPARED TO PROTECT HOMELAND BY ALL MEANS BN 03/20 11:44 *UKRAINE SAYS SANCTIONS COULD BE ...

Hilsenrath Article

Thursday, March 20th, 2014

Attached is a Hilsenrath piece from the WSJ site this morning. It is actually for him an excellent bit of analysis. He prints the entire quote from Ms Yellen on considerable time and her six month utterance.Hilsenrath notes properly that it was a very small piece of a longer piece ...