Archive for February, 2014

European Liquidity

Friday, February 21st, 2014

Action Economics with a short note on the decline of excess liquidity in Europe: 05:40 ET Eurozone excess liquidity at lowest since 2011, according to Bloomberg data, which showed excess liquidity dropped EUR 9 bln to EUR 120.6 bln. This is the lowest level since December 2011. The ECB will announce ...

Pound Sterling Resiliency

Friday, February 21st, 2014

Via Mark Chandler at Brown Brothers: Although the British pound is slightly lower on the week, its resilience remains remarkable.  It made a new low for the week, near $1.6615 in response to the 1.5% decline in January retail sales, but quickly rebounded to new session highs (~$1.6680).  Better than expected ...

Stratfor on Russia and Ukraine

Friday, February 21st, 2014

Stratfor suggesting that Putin is employing the rope a dope strategy in Ukraine. Via Stratfor: Russia Waits Out the Ukraine Crisis Ukraine has completed yet another cycle of warlike live streams, diplomatic appeals for calm and government concessions of questionable sincerity. The tenuous calm now seen in the streets is owed more to ...

February 21 2014 Opening

Friday, February 21st, 2014

Prices of Treasury coupon securities are marginally lower when compared to levels which prevailed at about 830PM New York time last night. The declines in price are quite small (2s and 3s actually unchanged) with 5s through 30s lower by 1 tick or 2. Volumes were light and at this ...

G 20 Finance Minister Meeting This Weekend

Friday, February 21st, 2014

Finance ministers of G 20 nations and other potentates will gather in Australia this weekend to discuss the many issues which affect the global economy. I have not followed this story and doubt the meeting produces any meaningful outcome as there is no especially dire crisis at hand at the ...

2014 Election and Senate Control

Thursday, February 20th, 2014

Sean Trende is a columnist/analyst for realclearpolitics.com. The site has a right leaning bent but I do believe that there election analysis is objective. Mr Trend published a piece today on the fight to control the Senate and ties his analysis to the approval rating of the President. The President ...

B of A on Spending

Thursday, February 20th, 2014

Bank America research regularly reports on its internal tracking of spending on credit cards and debit card. Given the Brobdingnagian size of that bank and its presence across a wide swath of America the results of that survey bear watching. In the latest week spending has increased but is still ...

Philly Fed

Thursday, February 20th, 2014

TDSecurities on Philly Fed The Philly Fed manufacturing index deteriorated substantially in February, plunging to -6.3 from 9.4. The decline confirms the softening prospects for February manufacturing suggested by Monday’s decline to 4.48 from 12.51 in the survey’s Empire manufacturing counterpart. The Philly Fed nevertheless noted that “much of the weakness ...

Swaps

Thursday, February 20th, 2014

Swap spreads are violently unchanged today in quiet professional trading. There is no real theme guiding that market at the moment at spread changes have been directional, tightening when treasuries sell off and widening in a rally. One trader with whom I spoke thought that if there was a resting ...

Treasury Market Update

Thursday, February 20th, 2014

The Treasury market has turned south and yields are rising. Traders are brushing off weak data and have focused on supply and the intimations from the FOMC of higher rates. That has motivated yield curve flattening transactions today by street traders and hedge funds. I have heard of central bank ...