Archive for February, 2014

Saint Louis Fed on Employment Article

Thursday, February 6th, 2014

The Saint Louis Fed has an interesting article on movements from the pool of unemployed to employed status and movement from non participation in labor market to employed status. The movement varies somewhat by industry but the Saint Louis Fed concludes that more movement occurs between non participation and employment ...

Treasury Market Update

Thursday, February 6th, 2014

The Treasury market is still in retreat following a brief break of 2.60 earlier this week. The issue traded to 101-18+ which is a 2.566 yield. The 200 day moving average on the 10 year today is 2.559 and would have been a tad lower Monday so the market has ...

MBS

Thursday, February 6th, 2014

Light origination and real money buyers has stabilized mortgages and in some of the high coupons tightened them a smidgeon versus Treasuries. Hedge funds and banks have been better buyers of 3s and some specific structured deal flow has benefited that coupon. Fifteen year paper remains well bid amidst buying ...

Corporate Bond Issuance

Thursday, February 6th, 2014

This is the calendar in the early going from the good folks at Bloomberg: Today at 9:36 AM $b  International Business Machines (IBM) Aa3/AA- $    2Y FRN  IPT 3ML +10area $    5Y FRN  IPT 3ML +equiv $    5Y          IPT  +Mid-50s                  ...

Primary Dealer Role Needs 21st Century makeover

Wednesday, February 5th, 2014

I posted about the discussion of the role of the primary dealers and the discussion about that role when the Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee met with Treasury officials today. The primary dealer system is a relic of a bygone era and needs some 21st Century tweaking. Maybe this is the ...

MBS

Wednesday, February 5th, 2014

I wrote earlier that selling had taken current coupons wider. They recouped most of those losses but it appears that another round of selling ensued as they have blown out 2 to 3 ticks in the last 30 minutes or so, according to a report from one dealer.

Steeper and Cheaper Today

Wednesday, February 5th, 2014

The long end of the Treasury market is taking a battering this afternoon and the curve is steepening in that process. The 5 year/10 year spread is a basis point steeper at 117.8 than it was when i first wrote early this morning. Similarly, 5s 30s is actually 2.5 basis ...

Corporate Issuance Today

Wednesday, February 5th, 2014

Via Bloomberg 02-05-14 Network Rail 500mm 3 yr frn launched 3ml +1 Enterprise Products Operating LLC B'Mark Baa1/BBB+ 2 part 10 & 31 yr(2/2045) par calls prior 3 mo on 10 and 6 mo on 31 ipt 10 yr mid/high 130's 31 yr mid/high 150's BP Capital Markets p.l.c. B'Mark A2/A  2/3 part 5.25 yr fxd and /or ...

MBS

Wednesday, February 5th, 2014

Real money has sold 30 year discounts and that has widened spreads. At one point MBS lagged by as many as 5 ticks but have rebounded to be 3+ wider currently.Higher coupons are outperforming with 4s 1 wider and 5s 1 tighter.Fifteen years are outperforming their 30 year cousins and ...

Corporates

Wednesday, February 5th, 2014

Corporate bond spreads are for the most part unchanged to a touch wider in very light trading. Issuance is light and the issuers are the antitheses of household names. For instance an entity with appellation Enterprise Products partners is issuing a 10 year and the very popular 31 year maturity.There is ...