Archive for February, 2014
Tuesday, February 11th, 2014
I have heard of central bank sellers of off the run 2s and 3s. That selling probably relates to the 3 year sale later today and would make them more likely to buy in the auction or from a dealer who would then probably cover in the auction. There was ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Some Overnight Client Flows
Tuesday, February 11th, 2014
Prices of Treasury coupon securities have sagged in overnight trading as markets prepare for Ms Yellen's maiden Congressional testimony and supply from Jack Lew and his attendant lords. The backup in Treasury rates reflects the upcoming supply as risk on sentiment is evident elsewhere as global financial market participants anticipate ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on February 11 2014 Opening
Tuesday, February 11th, 2014
The WSJ has posted a story on lawsuits questioning the authority of the government to appropriate to itself the substantial profits earned by FNMA and Freddie Mac the last couple of years. The mortgage giants were at the polar vortex of the financial crisis when they folded in 2008 and ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Bleak House American Style
Monday, February 10th, 2014
Jens Christensen is a senior economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco and just published a timely article regarding when market participants expect that the FOMC will begin raising rates. Here is the conclusion of the paper:
" A novel model of the Treasury yield curve allows an assessment ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Exiting the Zero Bound
Monday, February 10th, 2014
This is very much a non market story though I am linking to a Bloomberg View story. The author debates the Beatles vs Rolling Stones dispute which is a long standing debate among denizens of the 1960s. I am on the side of the Beatles on this one. The revolution ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Aging Baby Boomer Alert
Monday, February 10th, 2014
This is a repeat of what I have written elsewhere. There is virtually nothing trading and while spreads are a tad tighter that is merely a function of the back up in Treasuries which is a manifestation of supply in that sector over the course of this week.
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Monday, February 10th, 2014
Corporate bond spreads are dramatically unchanged in very quiet trading today. The IG 21 has rallied from the widest levels attained last week and sits a nickel better at 67 1/2. It is unchanged on the day.Earlier I posted on the corporate supply and that is quite limited. That lack ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Corporate Bond Spreads
Monday, February 10th, 2014
Swap spreads are about 1/2 basis point tighter this morning. The level of activity here is very subdued as participants await Ms Yellen's testimony. The rate curve has flattened here,too, as some participants in that market express view that the curve has run too far too fast. Spreads are 1/2 ...
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Monday, February 10th, 2014
I failed to include this though it is not in US dollars. Goldman Sachs is selling 1 billion Euros of a 7 year note today. That might have some impact on swap spreads or currencies depending if and how they choose to hedge it.
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Corporate Bond Supply Addendum
Monday, February 10th, 2014
Via the good folks at Bloomberg:
Republic of Slovenia B'Mark Ba1/A- 2 part 5 & 10 yr 144 A Reg S
guidance +287.5 area on both
Capital One Bank (USA), National Association B'Mark A3/BBB+ 2 part 3 & 5 yr
Sr bank NOtes
1 mo par call prior on both
ipt 3 yr +70
5 yr +90
both ...
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Corporate Bond Supply Thus Far Today