Archive for November, 2013

November 14 2013 Open

Thursday, November 14th, 2013

Prices of Treasury coupon securities are posting  little change from levels attained in late New York trading yesterday. The market maintained a strong bid throughout the day yesterday and successfully auctioned 10 year notes 1/2 basis point through the 100PM bid side. The market rallied late when the Federal Reserve ...

Another Hilsenrath Story

Thursday, November 14th, 2013

The WSJ is carrying another Hilsenrath story on discussions at the Federal Reserve regarding forward guidance and the unemployment threshold. I think it is another story under his byline which adds little to our store of knowledge. As I read the story all the information in it is already coursing ...

Highlights of Text of Yellen Testimony

Wednesday, November 13th, 2013

The text of the Yellen testimony is in the market and I attach the Bloomberg story. She says that inflation will remain below the 2 percent target for some time and that unemployment at 7.3 percent is too high. She reiterates her support of Bernanke's drive for transparency in disclosing ...

End of Day

Wednesday, November 13th, 2013

The Treasury successfully auctioned a dollop of 10 year notes earlier today. The issue was cheap on the curve and cheap versus other government bonds and that relative value case elicited buying from dealers. I have not heard of any heavy outbursts of buying from end user types and I ...

Paltry Enrollment in ObamaCare

Wednesday, November 13th, 2013

The central authority in Washington DC has just released data on enrollment in its dirigiste  health insurance plan. According to politico.com  only slightly more than 106,000 people have enrolled via exchanges. That is a pittance of the 30 million which advocates of government control of health care claimed are uninsured ...

Auction Result

Wednesday, November 13th, 2013

By Chris Middleton Nov. 13 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. Treasury sold $24.0b in 10-year notes at a yield of 2.75 percent. • High yield 2.750% vs last auction 2.657% • Bid-to-cover 2.70 vs last auction 2.58 • Dealers awarded 33.8% vs last auction 40.2% • Direct bidders awarded 18.6% vs last auction  21.2% • Indirect bidders ...

MBS

Wednesday, November 13th, 2013

One fully paid up subscriber reports that mortgage spreads are opening virtually unchanged in quiet professional trading. Sentiment is upbeat as lower dollar prices and wider spreads motivated buyers yesterday. Origination based supply is light today.

Bail In Story

Wednesday, November 13th, 2013

This is an important story which should engender some volatility. Germany is pushing for a bail in sooner rather than later. Via Reuters and a fully paid up subscriber:   Plan to raid bank creditors could shatter Europe's calm - RTRS 13-Nov-2013 05:51 Germany wants rules in 2015 to push bank losses on investors EU lawmaker ...

Early update

Wednesday, November 13th, 2013

Yields dropping as trading baton passed to the US side of the pond. The 10 year is a tad below 2.75 as we speak. I have not found the dealer who has observed the flow. I think some of this is a short squeeze with some being too exuberant on ...

November 13 2013 Open

Wednesday, November 13th, 2013

Prices of Treasury coupon securities have edged higher in quiet overnight trading. Reports indicate that central banks have been better buyers of 5s and off the run 2s with  real money sellers of 2s poised just above current levels waiting to sell an uptick. Proprietary traders sold the belly of ...