Archive for October, 2009

Bond Market Close October 19 2009

Monday, October 19th, 2009

Prices of Treasury coupon securities posted bifurcated results this day with the front end of the curve languishing as the long end leaped ( some poetic license in the use of the word leaped as I wanted the alliterative L). The market opened weaker on the residue of the Barrons cover ...

Some Swaps and MBS and Corporate Bonds

Monday, October 19th, 2009

Swap spreads have edged tighter since I last wrote of them this morning. Two year spreads are 2 basis points tighter at 36 1/2. Five year spreads are a basis point tighter at 38. Ten year spreads are a basis point tighter at 17 1/2. Thirty year spreads are also ...

Swaption VOL

Monday, October 19th, 2009

The premium on a three month/ten year ATM swaption straddle is482 basis points. Annualized vol is141.4and the daily breakeven is 8.8 basis points. The premium on a 5year/10 year ATM swaption straddle is1464 basis points. Annualized vol is 118.8 basis points and the daily breakeven is 7.4 basis points. The breakeven levels ...

Corporate Bonds

Monday, October 19th, 2009

Corporate bonds are very firm today and spreads are about a nickel tighter. The level of activity in the cash market and the new issue market is subdued in each instance. One salesman that customers are still better buyers and quality names will trade on the offered side of the market. In ...

TIPS Via Anonymous Dealer

Monday, October 19th, 2009

Breakevens are wider this morning despite the nominal market rally, led by the 5 year sector. We have seen small buying across the curve today and 10 year breakevens are currently sitting at 201bps, wider 2.5bps on the day. I have no strong convictions on the outright level of breakevens here-  I do ...

Federal Reserve Statement on Reverse Repo

Monday, October 19th, 2009

The Federal Reserve Bank of NY has issued a statement to quell speculation about reverse repos. As I mentioned earlier the market was rife with rumors on Friday regarding the topic. The Open Market Desk is in an exploratory mode and is busy doing preparatory work for the time when reverse ...

MBS

Monday, October 19th, 2009

MBS are opening unchanged in very light trading. There does seem to be some interest in moving down in coupon.

Swap Spreads

Monday, October 19th, 2009

Swap Spreads are opening with very little change. Two year spreads are unchanged at38 1/2. Five year spreads are a basis point tighter at 38. Ten year spreads are unchanged at 18 1/2. Thirty year spreads are unchanged at NEGATIVE 7 1/2.

Brown Brothers on the Euro

Monday, October 19th, 2009

The euro remains well supported though unable to rise above the $1.50 level ahead of the EU finance ministers meeting. There is some thought that today's euro zone finance ministers’ meeting is a likely forum to express concern about the euro's rise.  And if not today, tomorrow when the 27 ...

Fedspeak This Week

Monday, October 19th, 2009

That rhymes. Maybe I could have written Weak Fedspeak or Weak Fedspeak this Week. Anyway the folks at the Federal Reserve will be all over the tape. (There was once an actual tape in the time befor mass dissemination of information.) Bernanke speaks today and Friday. Warsh and Plosser are on the docket ...