Archive for June, 2009

JPMorgan Regarding the FOMC Statement

Wednesday, June 24th, 2009

The FOMC chose not to mess with success -- or at least with some signs of stabilization -- and left most of its meeting statement unchanged relative to the prior statement.  Moreover, there were no changes to any of the Fed's large scale asset purchase programs.  At the margin, the ...

Indirect Bidding Change: Hat Tips to SC and AT

Wednesday, June 24th, 2009

By Min Zeng Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--The recent sharp rise in demand for U.S. Treasury debt from buy-side investors, including foreign central banks, is partly the result from a recently implemented change in Treasury security auction rules. The ...

Bond Market Close June 24 2009

Wednesday, June 24th, 2009

Prices of Treasury coupon securities slumped today in a volatile trading session in which the auction of 5 year notes by the Treasury and the statement by the FOMC at the conclusion of its conclave dominated. As I discussed earlier the 5 year note auction was well received and stopped through ...

Swaps MBS and VOL

Wednesday, June 24th, 2009

Swap spreads are mixed. Two year spreads are 1/4 basis point tighter at 40 1/4. Three year spreads are wider by 1/2 basis point at 50 1/. Five year spreads are unchanged at 42. Seven year spreads are narrower by 2 basis points at 23 1/4. Ten year spreads are ...

FOMC Speaks

Wednesday, June 24th, 2009

The FOMC just released the statement which defines policy until the next meeting . In reviewing the statement and comparing it to the previous one I not one major change. The FOMC has omitted a "deflation" statement. In the previous statement they noted that " the Committee sees some risk that ...

Five Year Result

Wednesday, June 24th, 2009

Foreigners are loving our securities. I performed a  quick long hand division (thank you to Sister Mary Consolata ) and it appears that foreign central banks bought 62 percent of this issue. The auction also came 2 basis points through where the issue was trading in the secondary market at bidding ...

More Five Year

Wednesday, June 24th, 2009

I just received an email from a dealer who notes that the forward roll on the 5 year has moved from its opening level of 4.25 basis points to 3.5 basis point bid currently. That is generally a sign that investors want to own the new issue and another sign that ...

Corporate Bonds

Wednesday, June 24th, 2009

Corporate bond spreads are a tad tighter on the day. There is a low level of activity as investors gingerly await the outcome of the FOMC meeting. Time Warner is issuing a benchmark offering in the 30 year sector. Price talk is T + 265 basis points. Sources report that this ...

Five Year Auction

Wednesday, June 24th, 2009

In a little over an hour the Treasury will auction a new batch of 5 year notes. i have chronicled regularly how cheap it is to the rest of the curve as reflected in the 2year/5year/30 year butterfly as well as in the 2 year/5year /10 year butterfly I spoke ...

Easy Money

Wednesday, June 24th, 2009

When I worked at the Open Market Desk years ago there was a senior officer named Paul Meek (or maybe Meeks). Anyway he was from someplace south (for a guy in New York anything south of Staten Island is south) and he carried a bit of a southern accent. I ...