Archive for February, 2009

February 2 2009 Close

Monday, February 2nd, 2009

Prices of Treasury coupon securities surged today with the long end of the market the greatest beneficiary of investor interest. The yield on the 2 year note declined 6 basis points to 0.89 percent. The yield on the 3 year note dropped 8 basis points to 1.25 percent. (Warning! If ...

Agency Bonds

Monday, February 2nd, 2009

Agency paper is wider by 2 basis points in the 2 year and 5 year sectors and about one basis point wider in the 10 year sector. FNMA announced a benchmark 5 year offering which will price tomorrow. The price talk is T+ 93 which makes it about 10 bass points ...

Corporate Bonds

Monday, February 2nd, 2009

Corporate bonds opened unchanged to a tad weaker this morning. One salesman and friend of the blog suggested that the weakness in corporates was in tandem with the early maelstrom in the equity markets. Spreads have not widened  appreciably but some say that is because volumes are extremely light. Well Point ...

MBS and Swaps

Monday, February 2nd, 2009

MBS volumes still on the light side and the product is a tick better versus swaps. Swaps are mixed. Two year spreads are 1 1/2 basis points wider at 73. Three year spreads are wider by the same amount at 69 3/4. Five year spreads are 1/2 basis point wider at ...

HSBC on the PCE

Monday, February 2nd, 2009

HSBC: US Core PCE Prices (Unrounded) Falls for 3rd Month In Row * Dec personal nominal income was a little better than expected   (-0.2% vs consensus -0.4%) while nominal personal spending      was a little worse (-1% vs consensus -0.9%). There were          downward revisions to both income and spending. ...

MBS

Monday, February 2nd, 2009

Dealers report an extremely quiet open to the mortgage market with MBS about 2/32 tighter to swaps.

Treasury Supply

Monday, February 2nd, 2009

On Wednesday the Treasury will announce the details of the quarterly refunding package. They will also announce any changes in the auction cycle which the massive increase in spending necessitates. The consensus is anticipating $32 billion 3 year notes, $22 billion 10 year notes and $14 billion 30 year bonds. The ...

IG 11

Monday, February 2nd, 2009

IG 11 is opening 4 basis points wider at 202/205.

Libor

Monday, February 2nd, 2009

Libor US$ Fixing                  2/02         1/30      Change OVERNIGHT     0.28500      0.30500    -0.02000 1 WEEK        0.34125      0.32375     0.01750 2 WEEKS       0.38375      0.36875     0.01500 1 MONTH       0.43750      0.41938     0.01812 2 MONTH       0.94375      ...

CDS on US Debt

Monday, February 2nd, 2009

An interesting and short reflection on the "circularity " of the CDS market on US debt. And the author includes a great alliteration.