Archive for February, 2009

Closing Thoughts February 09 2009

Monday, February 9th, 2009

Prices of Treasury coupon securities registered bifurcated results today with shorter maturities posting price declines and the Long Bond gaining on the day. The Long Bond benefited from machinations surrounding the Cisco deal which included $2billion 30 year bonds.   The yield on the 2 year note traded three basis points ...

Corporates

Monday, February 9th, 2009

There was quite a bit of corporate issuance today and I spoke of some of it earlier. I am not sure which of this stuff has been priced and which has been launched but it is all out there being worked. I have spread levels and sizes which I did ...

MBS and Swaps

Monday, February 9th, 2009

Mortgages are 6 ticks to 7 ticks tighter on the day. The Federal Reserve has been observed on the buy side while hedge funds and money managers take profits.   I had written early this morning about the move in CMBS spreads. At that time they were about 25 basis points wider ...

Agency and Swaps

Monday, February 9th, 2009

Swaps preads in 2 years, 5year and 10 years are each a basis point wider. Thirty year spreads are flat. Agency spreads have not lost the momentum they had on Friday when rumors swirled that the Federal government would take responsibility for these things. Spreads are tighter by 2 basis points ...

Corporate Bonds

Monday, February 9th, 2009

There is a reasonable chunk of issuance today. Cisco is an infrequent issuer. One investor said that they last visited the market with a 3 year in 2006. They are offering benchmark size in 10 year and 30 year. Unilever is bringing $1.5 billion of 5 year and 10 year paper. I ...

Morning Musings

Monday, February 9th, 2009

Treasury market is lower in price but there is virtually no activity from clients. Investors are hunkered down waiting for firm details on the bailout plan as well as the stimulus bill. I spoke with a CMBX guru who noted that stuff was 25 basis points better today in AAA space. ...

MBS

Monday, February 9th, 2009

Mortgages are opening about 5 ticks tighter to the 10 year Treasury.  Central banks, domestic and foreign , have been buyers as well as hedge funds. Mortgages should do well as market sets up for Treasury supply but if there is not a rally following the refunding there should be ...

Some Opening Comments February 09 2009

Monday, February 9th, 2009

Prices of Treasury coupon securities have registered minimal changes in overseas trading. There is little hard data upon which traders can focus on today. The unveiling of the banking system bailout has been postponed until tomorrow. One reason offered for the delay was to keep Congress focused on the stimulus ...

How Do You Spell “Manipulate” In Mandarin?

Sunday, February 8th, 2009

Maybe rookie Treasury Secretary Geithner was on to something. Here is a link to a Bloomberg story on a research report in China which argues for devaluation of the Chinese currency.

Delay

Sunday, February 8th, 2009

The Administration has now decided to postpone the unveling of its bank bailout/ rescue plan/restructuring until Tuesday. WSJ story quotes Larry Summers as saying that the delay will keep Congressional focus on the stimulus package. I think this is a beautiful thing for underwriters of the Treasury refunding. I believe that Monday ...