Archive for January, 2009

Libor

Tuesday, January 6th, 2009

Libor US$ Fixing 1/06 1/05 Change OVERNIGHT 0.12375 0.11750 0.00625 1 WEEK 0.29750 0.29000 0.00750 2 WEEKS 0.34375 0.33625 0.00750 1 MONTH 0.42063 0.42875 -0.00812 2 MONTH 1.09125 1.09750 -0.00625 3 MONTH 1.41125 1.42125 -0.01000 4 MONTH 1.52625 1.54750 -0.02125 5 MONTH 1.65750 1.67625 -0.01875 6 MONTH 1.77000 1.79375 -0.02375 9 MONTH 1.92500 1.95875 -0.03375 12 MONTH 2.04625 2.09250 -0.04625

Opening Comments January 6th 2009

Tuesday, January 6th, 2009

Prices of Treasury coupon securities have slumped in overnight trading as the global flight to quality reverses itself. The market has pared some of its earlier losses and has modestly reversed some of the curve steepening observed yesterday.The yield on the 2 year note has climbed 4 basis points to ...

Relative Value

Tuesday, January 6th, 2009

I wrote today about anomalies along the Treasury yield which developed during the deleveragin process and which are now in the process of correcting back to some normal relationship. Here is a list compiled by a trader and the extent of the move in these spreads over the last several weeks.  ...

Closing Comments January 5 2009

Monday, January 5th, 2009

Prices of Treasury coupon securities registered very bifurcated results as the first fully staffed trading session of the new year produced a rout in the long end. Investors returned from the holidays with the animal spirits racing and poured money from risk free assets into riskier fixed income assets.The yield ...

Corporate Bonds

Monday, January 5th, 2009

Corporate bonds are on fire today. Spreads are ratcheting in as buyers emerge after a long period of hiatus. One salesman noted that 10 year and 30 year industrial paper has tightened 25 basis points to 50 basis points to benchmark Treasury debt in the last two weeks.Caterpillar Tractor 10 ...

Federal Reserve and Treasury on Fails

Monday, January 5th, 2009

The Treasury and the Fed have just released updated proposals on the mechanics handling the fail problem in the Treasury market. I have not had a chance to read them and will not until later this evening. I will leave the three links below for those who wish to peruse ...

Swap And Agencies

Monday, January 5th, 2009

Swap spreads are one basis point wider at 78 1/2 basis points in the 2 year sector. Five year sector spreads are 2 basis points wider at 64 basis points. Ten year spreads are a basis point tighter at 38 basis points and 30 year spreads have widened 1 1/2 ...

Treasury Supply

Monday, January 5th, 2009

Henry Paulson is not following the sage counsel of TS Eliot and is instead going out with a bang rather than Eliot's whimper. The Treasury announced today that they will auction $30 billion 3 year notes on Wednesday. The increase in issuance here is stunning. The 3 year was reintroduced in ...

MBS

Monday, January 5th, 2009

Mortgages are "en fuego " this morning. One dealer reports that they are 1/2 point to 5/8 point better versus Treasuries. The Federal Reserve was  in buying this morning and that activity stoked the fire. One dealer noted that the Federal Reserve bought coupons as low as 4 percent. Another trader noted ...

IG 11

Monday, January 5th, 2009

The IG 11 is opening 1.5 wider at 197.5 / 200.5